Coin Market
How to file crypto taxes in the US (2024–2025 tax season)
Published
2 months agoon
By
Key takeaways
US crypto investors must file their 2024 tax returns by April 15, 2025, ensuring all crypto transactions are accurately reported to the IRS.
Crypto held for less than a year is taxed as ordinary income (10%-37%), while holdings over a year qualify for lower capital gains rates (0%, 15%, or 20%).
Selling, trading, or spending crypto triggers taxes, while holding or transferring between wallets does not.
Mining, staking, airdrops, and crypto payments are taxed as income at applicable rates.
The world of cryptocurrencies can indeed be an exciting space for investors, but as the tax season approaches, many US investors find themselves grappling with confusion and uncertainty.
With the upcoming tax filing deadline of April 15, 2025, it’s a critical time to get a handle on crypto tax obligations. Ask most US crypto investors, and they’ll likely tell you that figuring out what transactions trigger a taxable event feels like navigating a maze.
Understanding various aspects of tax filing is crucial for accurately filing taxes, avoiding penalties and staying compliant with the Internal Revenue Service (IRS). This article breaks down key elements like tax brackets, rates, exemptions and other critical details.
How does the IRS tax crypto?
The Internal Revenue Service, the agency responsible for collecting US federal taxes, treats cryptocurrencies as property for tax purposes. You pay taxes on gains realized when selling, trading or disposing of cryptocurrencies. For short-term capital gains (held less than a year), you pay taxes at the rates of 10%–37%, depending on your income bracket.
Long-term capital gains (assets held for over a year) benefit from reduced rates of 0%, 15% or 20%, also based on your taxable income.
When you dispose of cryptocurrency for more than its purchase price, you generate a capital gain. Conversely, selling below the purchase price results in a capital loss. You must report both your capital gains and losses for the year in which the transaction occurs, with gains being taxable and losses potentially offsetting gains to reduce your tax liability.
With the upcoming April 15, 2025, deadline for filing 2024 tax returns, US crypto investors need to ensure these transactions are accurately tracked and reported.
To illustrate, suppose you purchased Ether (ETH) worth $1,000 in 2023 and sold it after a year in 2024 for $1,200, netting a $200 profit. The IRS would tax that $200 as a long-term capital gain, applying the appropriate rate based on your 2024 income.
Taxes are categorized as capital gains tax or income tax, depending on the type of transactions:
Capital gains tax: Applies to selling crypto, using crypto to purchase goods or services, or trading one cryptocurrency for another.
Income tax: Applies to crypto earned through mining, staking, receiving it as payment for work, or referral bonuses from exchanges.
These distinctions are crucial for accurate reporting by the April 15 deadline. Gains are taxed, while losses can help offset taxable income, so detailed record-keeping is a must.
Did you know? In Australia, gifting cryptocurrency triggers a capital gains tax (CGT) event. The giver may need to report gains or losses based on the asset’s market value at the time of transfer, though certain gifts — like those between spouses — may qualify for exemptions. While this differs from US rules, it highlights how crypto taxation varies globally.
How crypto tax rates work in the US
In the US, your crypto tax rate depends on your income and how long you’ve held the cryptocurrency. Long-term capital gains tax rates range from 0% to 20%, and short-term rates align with ordinary income tax rates of 10%–37%. Transferring crypto between your own wallets or selling it at a loss doesn’t trigger a tax liability.
You only owe taxes when you sell your crypto, whether for cash or for any other cryptocurrency. Consider this example: Suppose you bought crypto for $1,000 in 2024, and by 2025, its value rose to $2,000. If you don’t sell, no tax is due — unrealized gains aren’t taxable.
If you sell cryptocurrency after holding it for a year or less, your profits are subject to short-term capital gains tax. These gains are taxed as ordinary income, meaning they are added to your total taxable earnings for the year.
Tax rates are progressive, based on income brackets, so different portions of your income are taxed at different rates. For instance, a single filer in 2025 pays 10% on the first $11,000 of taxable income and 12% on income up to $44,725. Short-term rates are higher than long-term rates, so timing your sales can significantly impact your tax bill.
Understanding crypto capital gains tax in the US
If you sell cryptocurrency after holding it for a year or less, your profits are subject to short-term capital gains tax. These gains are treated as ordinary income and added to your total taxable earnings for the year. Since tax rates are based on income brackets, different portions of your earnings are taxed at different rates, as explained above.
2024–2025 federal income tax brackets for crypto earnings
Here are the federal income tax rates for the 2024–2025 tax year. You apply the 2024 tax brackets to income earned in the 2024 calendar year, reported on tax returns filed in 2025.
Long-term capital gains tax for crypto earned in 2024
You pay long-term capital gains tax if you sell cryptocurrency after holding it for more than a year. Unlike short-term gains, these aren’t taxed as ordinary income. Instead, tax rates are based on your total taxable income and filing status. Long-term capital gains tax rates are 0%, 15% or 20%, making them lower than short-term rates. Holding crypto longer can reduce your tax burden significantly.
Here is a table outlining long-term crypto capital gains tax for the calendar year 2024. These rates are applicable when filing tax returns in 2025.
2024–2025 standard deduction: Reduce your crypto taxable income
The standard deduction is the portion of your income that’s exempt from federal taxes before tax rates are applied, reducing your taxable income.
Here is a table regarding tax deductions in the calendar year 2024. These amounts are applicable when filing for tax returns in 2025.
How are crypto airdrops taxed in the US?
In the US, crypto airdrops are treated as ordinary income by the IRS and taxed at the time they come under the taxpayer’s full control. The taxable amount is based on the tokens’ fair market value at that moment, even if the taxpayer didn’t request them. Later, selling or trading those tokens may trigger capital gains tax, depending on the price difference between receipt and disposal.
The taxable event hinges on control: If tokens automatically appear in a taxpayer’s wallet, the income is typically recognized upon arrival. If the tokens require manual claiming (e.g., through a transaction), the taxable event occurs when the claim is completed. Either way, the fair market value at that point determines the income reported.
When the taxpayer sells or trades the airdropped tokens, they incur a capital gain or loss, calculated as the difference between the value at receipt (the basis) and the value at sale or trade. Moreover, the holding periods matter: If sold within a year, gains are taxed at ordinary income rates (10%–37%, based on income brackets). If held longer than a year, gains qualify for lower long-term capital gains rates (0%, 15% or 20%, depending on income). Proper tracking of receipt dates and values is essential for accurate tax reporting.
Crypto gifting rules and tax implications in the US
In the US, gifting cryptocurrency is generally not a taxable event for either the giver or the recipient, meaning no immediate tax is owed. However, specific thresholds and reporting requirements must be followed to stay compliant with IRS rules.
For the 2024 tax year (filed by April 15, 2025), if the total value of crypto gifts to a single recipient exceeds $18,000, the giver must file a gift tax return using Form 709.
When the recipient eventually sells the gifted cryptocurrency, they’ll calculate capital gains or losses based on the giver’s original cost basis — the price the giver paid for the crypto. If this cost basis isn’t documented or available, the recipient may need to assume a basis of $0, which could increase their taxable gain upon sale. To avoid complications, both parties should keep detailed records of the gift’s fair market value at the time of transfer and the giver’s original cost basis.
Did you know? In the UK, giving cryptocurrency as a gift may result in capital gains tax for the giver, except for gifts to spouses or civil partners. Additionally, inheritance tax could apply if the giver dies within seven years of the gift.
Essential forms for filing crypto taxes in 2024
With the April 15, 2025, deadline nearing, here are the key forms for reporting 2024 crypto transactions:
Form 8949: For reporting capital gains and losses from crypto sales, trades and disposals. Each transaction must be listed individually.
Schedule D (Form 1040): Summarizes total capital gains and losses from Form 8949; used for calculating taxable income.
Schedule 1 (Form 1040): Reports additional income, including staking rewards, airdrops and hard forks, if classified as taxable income.
Schedule C (Form 1040): Used by self-employed individuals or businesses to report crypto-related income from mining, consulting or freelance work.
Form 1099-MISC: Issued for staking, mining or payment income over $600
Form 1040: The main return form to combine income, deductions and tax liability.
FBAR (FinCEN Form 114): File separately if foreign crypto accounts exceeded $10,000 in 2024.
Step-by-step guide to filing crypto taxes for the 2024–2025 tax season
Here’s how to file, step by step, leveraging the detailed tax rates and forms outlined above.
Step 1: Gather all crypto transaction records
Collect records for every 2024 crypto transaction:
Dates of buying, selling, trading or receiving crypto
Amounts (e.g., 0.5 Bitcoin) and US dollar fair market value (FMV) at the time
Cost basis (what you paid, including fees) and proceeds (what you received).
To ensure complete records, pull data from wallets, exchanges (e.g., Coinbase) and blockchain explorers. Export transaction histories or CSVs, and note staking rewards, airdrops or mining income separately with their FMV on receipt.
Step 2: Identify taxable events
Pinpoint which 2024 actions trigger taxes:
Taxable: Selling crypto for cash/stablecoins, trading crypto, spending crypto or earning it (mining, staking, airdrops).
Non-taxable: Buying and holding with USD, moving crypto between your wallets, gifting up to $18,000 per recipient.
Classify each taxable event as short-term (≤1 year) or long-term (>1 year) for rate purposes.
Step 3: Calculate capital gains and losses
For taxable sales or trades:
Formula: Proceeds (FMV at disposal) – Cost Basis = Gain/Loss
Example: Bought 1 Ether (ETH) for $2,000 in May 2024, sold for $2,500 in November 2024 = $500 short-term gain.
Use first-in, first-out or specific identification for cost basis (be consistent). Sum your net gains/losses. See the “2024 Federal Income Tax Brackets” section for how these are taxed.
Step 4: Calculate crypto income
For earnings (mining, staking, airdrops):
Record FMV in USD when received (e.g., 10 Cardano worth $5 on June 1, 2024 = $5 income).
Add to your other 2024 income to set your tax bracket, detailed in the sections above.
Step 5: Apply the 2024 standard deduction
Lower your taxable income with the standard deduction:
Single: $14,600
Married filing jointly: $29,200
Head of household: $21,900
Subtract this from total income (including short-term gains and crypto income). Long-term gains are taxed separately.
Step 6: Determine your tax rates
Apply rates to your gains and income (refer to “How Crypto Tax Rates Work in 2024”):
Short-term gains and income: Ordinary rates (10%–37%).
Long-term gains: 0%, 15% or 20%, based on income.
Offset gains with losses (up to $3,000 net loss against other income; carry forward excess).
Step 7: Complete the necessary tax forms
Fill out the required IRS forms (see “Essential Forms for Filing Crypto Taxes in 2024”):
List capital gains/losses and income on Form 8949, Schedule D and Schedule 1 as applicable.
Use Schedule C if self-employed (e.g., mining business).
Combine everything on Form 1040.
Check Form 1099-MISC if received and file FBAR for foreign accounts over $10,000.
Step 8: File your return by April 15, 2025
Submit via IRS e-file or mail, postmarked by April 15, 2025.
Need more time? File Form 4868 for an extension to Oct. 15, 2025, but pay estimated taxes by April 15 to avoid penalties.
Step 9: Pay any taxes owed
Estimate your tax from Step 6, then pay via IRS Direct Pay or check. Late payments after April 15 incur a 0.5% monthly penalty plus interest.
Step 10: Keep records for audits
Store transaction records and forms for three to six years. The IRS is intensifying crypto scrutiny — be prepared.
Did you know? In Canada, giving cryptocurrency as a gift is generally considered a taxable disposition, requiring the giver to determine and report any capital gains or losses.
Important dates and deadlines for 2024–2025 tax season and beyond
Here are important dates regarding the 2024–2025 tax season and 2025 transition:
2024 tax season
Jan. 31, 2025: Some exchanges may issue voluntary 1099s (e.g., 1099-MISC).
April 15, 2025: File taxes on crypto earned in 2024.
2025 transition
Jan. 1, 2025: Form 1099-DA reporting begins.
Dec. 31, 2025: Safe harbor ends for adjusting universal cost basis.
Jan. 31, 2026: Receive Form 1099-DA for 2025 trades.
Quarterly estimates
June 15, Sept. 15, 2025, etc., for active traders.
New IRS crypto tax rules for 2025: What you need to know
The IRS introduced new rules for tax filing and reporting aimed at US cryptocurrency taxpayers, but these regulations have encountered significant pushback. Both the US Senate and House of Representatives voted to repeal them under the Congressional Review Act (CRA), and President Donald Trump has signaled support for the rollback. Despite this uncertainty, understanding these rules remains crucial, especially with deadlines looming in 2025.
A core component of the new rules is calculating taxes using a cost basis — the original amount invested in an asset, including fees or commissions. Accurately tracking cost basis is vital for proper tax reporting and prevents double taxation on reinvested earnings. It’s the starting point for determining capital gains or losses.
Under the updated IRS guidelines, crypto investors must now track the cost basis (original purchase price) separately for each account or wallet, moving away from a universal tracking approach. This requires recording the purchase date, acquisition cost and specific transaction details.
The rules also mandate specific identification for every digital asset sale, requiring taxpayers to report the exact purchase date, quantity and cost of the assets sold. If this information isn’t provided, the IRS defaults to the first-in, first-out (FIFO) method — selling your earliest coins first — which could inflate taxable gains if those initial purchases had lower costs.
For taxpayers previously using a universal cost basis method, the IRS requires reallocating their basis across all accounts or wallets accurately by Dec. 31, 2025, to comply with these standards.
Form 1099-DA: What to expect for crypto taxes in 2025–2026
As of March 27, 2025, Form 1099-DA is set to become a pivotal tool for the 2025–2026 tax season, simplifying how cryptocurrency transactions are reported in the US. This new form, tailored specifically for digital assets, will be issued by exchanges to both taxpayers and the IRS, providing a detailed breakdown of activities like sales, trades and other taxable crypto events from 2025.
It’s designed to streamline compliance and bolster IRS oversight, reflecting the agency’s growing focus on tracking digital asset income. For taxpayers, it promises easier, more accurate reporting, while exchanges take on a larger role in tax documentation.
For the 2024 tax year — due by April 15, 2025 — this form isn’t yet available; filers must still rely on existing forms like Form 1099-MISC until Form 1099-DA officially takes effect for 2025 earnings.
IRS crypto tax penalties: What happens if you don’t report or under-report in 2024?
US taxpayers who fail to meet their tax obligations may face penalties from the IRS. When tax obligations go unmet, the IRS sends a notice or letter detailing the penalty, its reason (e.g., late filing, non-payment or inaccurate reporting) and your next steps.
Penalties vary:
Late filing or non-payment can incur fines up to 25% of the unpaid tax, plus interest that accrues until settled.
Other triggers — like bounced checks or fraudulent claims — add further costs, and the IRS may launch an audit to scrutinize your filings.
Individuals may face penalties of up to $100,000 and criminal sanctions, including imprisonment for up to five years.
Corporations can be fined up to $500,000.
These stakes are high, especially as the IRS ramps up crypto enforcement in 2024. To dodge these consequences, double-check any notice for accuracy and act fast: Request a filing extension with Form 4868 if needed (due by April 15, 2025), arrange a payment plan for unaffordable penalties, or dispute the penalty if you believe it’s unjustified. Prompt action can save you from escalating costs and legal headaches.
You may like
Coin Market
Bahrain-based AlAbraaj Restaurants adopts Bitcoin treasury strategy
Published
6 minutes agoon
May 15, 2025By
A Bahrain-based, listed catering company with a $24.2 million market cap has adopted a Bitcoin treasury strategy in partnership with investment firm 10X Capital.
According to a May 15 announcement, AlAbraaj Restaurants Group partnered with 10X Capital to adopt a Bitcoin (BTC) treasury strategy similar to top corporate BTC holder Strategy (previously known as MicroStrategy). The firm also aims to explore Sharia-compliant access to Bitcoin for the Islamic world.
“Our initiative to become a Bitcoin treasury company reflects our forward-looking approach and our commitment to enhancing shareholder value,” said Abdullah Isa, head of AlAbraaj’s Bitcoin Treasury Committee.
Isa added that the company believes “Bitcoin will play a central role in the future of finance.” He cited Strategy’s legacy as an inspiration:
“We look forward to building the ‘MicroStrategy of the Middle East’ with their support.”
Related: Strive to become Bitcoin treasury company
A photo shared by the company on X shows a meeting between a company representative and Strategy chairman Michael Saylor.
Source: AlAbraaj Restaurants Group
Company makes initial Bitcoin purchase
AlAbraaj Restaurants Group made an initial investment of 5 BTC and announced the intention to keep accumulating more. The decision is reportedly a response to the evolving financial landscape and growing institutional interest.
The company plans to allocate a significant portion of its corporate treasury to Bitcoin, making it its primary reserve asset. AlAbraaj said it prides itself on being profitable, with $12.5 million of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization reported in 2024.
The company also said it hopes to strengthen its portfolio and expand into the finance industry. As part of this initiative, it plans to develop its own Sharia-compliant financial instruments to tap the Islamic market.
Related: Blockchain is the best fintech to ensure Sharia ethics — Web3 exec
Backed by 10X Capital
The firm’s partnership with 10X Capital eases its introduction into the Bitcoin market and digital asset treasury management. The same company advised Nakamoto in its recent $710 million raise.
On May 12, healthcare services provider KindlyMD merged with Bitcoin-native holding company Nakamoto Holdings to form a BTC treasury also named Nakamoto. David Bailey, a crypto adviser to US President Donald Trump, founded the latter company.
AlAbraaj Restaurants Group plans to rely on 10X Capital to help it raise more capital to acquire additional Bitcoin, increasing the BTC-per-share ratio for investors. 10X Capital CEO Hans Thomas highlighted that the deal provides potential Bitcoin exposure to the entire Gulf Cooperation Council:
“The GCC has a combined GDP of over $2.2 trillion — larger than Canada, Russia, Italy, Brazil, Australia, South Korea, or Spain — and sovereign wealth exceeding $6 trillion, yet until now, lacked a public Bitcoin treasury company like MicroStrategy.“
Magazine: Rise of MicroStrategy clones, Asia dominates crypto adoption: Asia Express 2024 review
Coin Market
6 signs predicting $140K as Bitcoin's next price top
Published
6 minutes agoon
May 15, 2025By
Key takeaways:
Bitcoin’s price is retracing, but strong ETF inflows, high network activity, and whale accumulation suggest BTC is on track to $140,000.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $2.9 billion in net inflows in two weeks, mirroring past rallies.
Declining exchange balances and a rising transaction volume Z-Score suggest increasing overall demand.
Bitcoin (BTC) price is down 1.4% over the last 24 hours. It trades 6% below its all-time high of $109,000, reached on Jan. 20. Nevertheless, several fundamental, onchain and technical metrics suggest that Bitcoin’s upside is not over.
Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows mirror past BTC rallies
Bitcoin’s latest recovery was accompanied by high investor appetite for spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which recorded $2.9 billion in net inflows over the last two weeks.
The chart below shows that after the launch of the US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, these investment products saw net inflows of approximately $8.5 billion between Feb. 13, 2024, and March 13, 2024, peaking at a record single-day inflow of $1.045 billion on March 12, 2024.
Spot Bitcoin ETF flows. Source: Glassnode
Similarly, between Nov. 6, 2024, and Dec. 16, 2024, cumulative daily inflows hit $5.7 billion, aligning with Bitcoin’s 60% rally from $67,000 to $108,000 over the same period.
If ETF inflows continue, Bitcoin is likely to resume its uptrend toward new all-time highs.
Bitcoin market volatility index: risk-on
Increased inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs signal high risk-on sentiment, as evidenced by a drop in the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), which measures 30-day market volatility expectations.
Bitcoin network economist Timothy Peterson highlighted that the VIX index has dropped substantially from 55 to 18 over the past 25 trading days.
A VIX score below 18 implied a “risk-on” environment, favoring assets like Bitcoin.
The analyst said:
“This will be a ‘risk on’ environment for the foreseeable future.”CBOE Volatility Index. Source: Timothy Peterson
Peterson’s model, which has a 95% tracking accuracy, predicted a $135,000 target within the next 100 days if the VIX remains low.
Strong Bitcoin accumulation continues
Reinforcing the risk-on sentiment are Bitcoin whales, who have been increasing their holdings even as the price rallied. Glassnode data shows the Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score (ATS) at 1 (see chart below), which signifies intense accumulation by large investors
According to Glassnode, the spike in trend score indicates a transition from distribution to accumulation across almost all cohorts. This shift mirrors a similar accumulation pattern observed in October 2024, which preceded Bitcoin’s rise from $67,000 to $108,000, spurred by US President Donald Trump’s election victory.
Bitcoin accumulation trend score. Source: Glassnode
Additional data from Santiment reveals that addresses holding between 10 BTC and 10,000 BTC have accumulated 83,105 more BTC in the past 30 days.
In a May 13 post on the X social platform, Santiment said,
“With the aggressive accumulation from these large wallets, it may be a matter of time until Bitcoin’s coveted $110K all-time high level is breached, particularly after the U.S. and China tariff pause.”Bitcoin 10-10,000 BTC chart holdings. Source: Santiment
Overall, this is a positive sign as continued accumulation signals bullish sentiment among this cohort of investors.
Related: Bitcoin looks ‘ridiculous’ as bulls attempt $2T market cap flip — Analyst
Declining Bitcoin balance on exchanges
BTC balance on exchanges reached a six-year low of 2.44 million BTC on May 15. According to the chart below, more than 110,000 BTC have been moved off exchanges over the last 30 days.
BTC reserve on exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant
Decreasing BTC balances on exchanges simply means investors could be withdrawing their tokens into self-custody wallets, indicating a lack of intention to sell in anticipation of a future price increase.
Increasing network activity
Bitcoin’s potential to rise higher is supported by high network activity, as highlighted by crypto investor Ted Boydston in a May 15 post on X.
The Bitcoin transaction volume Z-Score measures the difference between the current transaction volume and the average. It is often used to gauge network activity and market interest.
The chart below shows the metric has risen sharply from the negative zone and is approaching 1. A rising transaction volume Z-score, especially when it approaches or exceeds 1, is historically associated with Bitcoin price rallies.
“This is a good sign for Bitcoin price acceleration,” remarked Boydsto, adding:
“Bitcoin should be full bull once the Z-Score breaches 1.”Source: Ted Boydston
BTC rounded bottom pattern targets $140K
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s price has formed a rounded bottom chart pattern on the daily chart (see below). Bills are now focused on pushing the price above the neckline of the governing chart pattern at $106,660.
A daily candlestick close above this level would confirm a bullish breakout from the rounded bottom formation, ushering BTC into price discovery with the technical target set at $140,000 or a 37% increase from the current level.
A daily candlestick close above this level would confirm a breakout into price discovery, with the technical target set at $140,000 or a 37% increase from the current level.
BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView
The relative strength index, or RSI, is at 70, and a bullish cross from the SMAs suggests that the market conditions still favor the upside, which can top out at even higher than $140,000.
As Cointelegraph reported, BTC price had broken out of a bull flag in the weekly timeframe, projecting a rally to $150,000.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
Key takeaways:
XRP forms a double top and rising wedge, signaling short-term downside risk toward $1.94.
NUPL indicates traders are in denial, resembling past pre-crash phases.
Long-term charts still point to bullish targets between $3.69 and $17.
XRP (XRP) has rebounded by more than 50% in a month after forming a local low at $1.80. Improving risk appetite and prospects of an “altseason” have boosted its price.
Could XRP rally further from current levels or risk a pullback in the coming days? Let’s examine.
XRP “double top” pattern hints at sell-off
XRP formed a double top near $2.65, signaling a possible trend reversal. The pattern includes two clear peaks and a neckline around $2.47. After the second peak, XRP dropped below the neckline, confirming the bearish setup.
XRP/USD four-hour price chart. Source: TradingView
A confirmed breakdown below this level points to a downside target near $2.30. The double top suggests weakening momentum after a strong rally. If buyers fail to break above $2.65, the pattern remains in play and bearish.
Rising wedge hints at possible 20% XRP price crash
XRP also broke down from a rising wedge pattern, signaling a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. Recent failed attempts to break above the pattern’s upper trendline from the pattern reiterate the same.
A wedge breakdown is confirmed when the price falls below its lower trendline, which XRP appears to be attempting as of May 15. The cryptocurrency is additionally testing support from the 50-4H exponential moving average (50-4H EMA; the red wave).
XRP/USD four-hour price chart. Source: TradingView
Breaking below the support zone increases the chance of XRP falling another 20% to around $1.94. This level comes from measuring the height of the rising wedge pattern and subtracting it from the breakdown point.
The $2.00–$2.04 range is also important because it holds a large number of leveraged long positions worth around $50 million, according to data resource CoinGlass.
XRP/USD liquidation heatmap (3 months). Source: CoinGlass
If XRP drops below this range, many of these positions could be forced to close, causing a long squeeze. That would add selling pressure and push the price closer to the $1.94 target.
XRP traders are in “denial” — onchain metric
XRP’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) has shifted into the Belief–Denial zone, shown in green on the Glassnode chart below. When in denial, many still expect prices to rise, even as momentum fades.
XRP NUPL 30-day average vs. price chart. Source: Glassnode
This NUPL level has historically marked the early stages of major corrections. For example, XRP entered this phase before sharp declines in 2018 and 2021.
If history repeats, XRP may face more downside in the short term, paving the way toward the price targets highlighted by the double top and rising wedge technical setups.
XRP long-term charts stay bullish
A counter analysis indicates a potential 45% rally toward $3.69 by June if a breakout from a multimonth falling wedge pattern plays out as intended.
XRP/USD three-day price chart. Source: TradingView
However, if XRP falls back below the wedge’s upper trendline and loses support at the 20-day (purple) and 50-day (red) exponential moving averages (EMA), the bullish setup could be invalidated, risking a decline toward $1.75.
Several long-term XRP price projections have targets of $5.24 and even $17, based on symmetrical triangle patterns and Fibonacci extensions shown below.
XRP/USD two-week price chart. Source: TradingView
Related: History rhymes? XRP price gained 400% the last time whale flows flipped
XRP’s long-term charts show a persistent bullish bias despite short-term pullback risks, indicating that the rally is probably not over.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.


GrayMatters Health Expands Mental Health Solutions Portfolio with Launch of Prism™ Suite

JX Luxventure Group Soars with 57% Revenue Surge and Sustained Profitability in FY 2024 Results

MicroTech Secures Major Contract with Government Printing Office to Provide On-Site Federal Print Managed Services

Whiteboard Series with NEAR | Ep: 45 Joel Thorstensson from ceramic.network

New Gooseneck Omni Antennas Offer Enhanced Signals in a Durable Package

Huawei Launches Global City Intelligent Twins Architecture to Accelerate City Digital Transformation

Why You Should Build on #NEAR – Co-founder Illia Polosukhin at CV Labs

Whiteboard Series with NEAR | Ep: 45 Joel Thorstensson from ceramic.network

NEAR End of Year Town Hall 2021: The Open Web World, MetaBUILD 2 Hackathon and 2021 recap
Trending
-
Technology5 days ago
DynaFile Leverages the Power of Adobe Acrobat Sign to Eliminate Paper and Simplify HR Document Management
-
Technology5 days ago
Abu Dhabi and Japan sign agreements to strengthen partnerships, boost bilateral trade and investments
-
Coin Market5 days ago
Ex-UFC champ Conor McGregor touts Irish Bitcoin reserve in presidential bid
-
Coin Market4 days ago
Altseason is coming, 40% daily gains to become ‘new normal’ — Analyst
-
Coin Market4 days ago
Pectra lets hackers drain wallets with just an offchain signature
-
Technology5 days ago
HOOKII Completes Kickstarter with 99.6% Delivery Rate and €2.1M Raised, Launches Neomow X Globally, Just in Time for the Mowing Season
-
Coin Market5 days ago
Bitcoin now deflationary due to Strategy's BTC purchases — Analyst
-
Coin Market5 days ago
Bitcoin SV investors attempt to resurrect 2019 Binance lawsuit