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India’s Growth Story: Building Momentum Despite Global Risks – DUN & BRADSTREET

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MUMBAI, India, April 4, 2025 /PRNewswire/ — Dun & Bradstreet, a global leader in business decisioning data and analytics, has released its Economy Observer report for February 2025. Economy Observer is a monthly report sharing in-depth analysis of key macroeconomic developments in India and provides forecasts for key economic indicators, and insight into the expected direction of the Indian economy.

Key economic forecast:

Real Economy: India’s economic growth picked up pace in Q3 FY25, rising to 6.2% from 5.6% in the previous quarter, fueled by strong rural demand and an 8.3% rise in government spending. Industrial activity also gained momentum, with IIP growth reaching 5.0% in January 2025, led by manufacturing and mining. Dun & Bradstreet forecasts IIP to rise to 6.3% in February 2025, supported by the Kumbh Mela and Holi driven consumer spending which significantly boosted the travel and hospitality industry, generating substantial revenue, creating numerous jobs and capital goods investment. The RBI’s 25 bps rate cut to 6.25% in February 2025 is expected to aid growth, with a further cut expected in its April meeting. However, risks remain—U.S. reciprocal tariffs – set to take effect from April 2, could weigh on key exports like metals, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, and automobiles. Balancing domestic demand strength with external pressures will be key to sustaining growth momentum.

Price Scenario: In February 2025, India’s price scenario showed encouraging signs for consumers as inflationary pressures eased. Retail inflation (CPI) dropped to a seven-month low of 3.6%, primarily due to a notable price decrease in key items like vegetables, eggs, meat, and fish. Dun and Bradstreet expects CPI inflation for March 2025 to be 3.5%, reflecting continued easing of food prices and stable fuel costs. Rural areas and urban regions experienced a similar trend, with headline inflation easing and food inflation dropping. On the wholesale front, WPI inflation saw a slight uptick to 2.4% in February 2025 from 2.3% in January 2025. Core inflation crossed 4% for the first time in 14 months, reaching 4.1%. Rural inflation remains higher than urban inflation, influenced by food price trends. Dun & Bradstreet forecasts that WPI inflation for March 2025 will remain at 2.4%, driven by a marginal increase in input costs and global commodity price fluctuations. Additionally, higher metal prices and concerns over tariffs are expected to contribute to inflation and growth in future.

Money & Finance: India’s financial markets in March 2025 reflect a dynamic interplay between monetary policy actions, market demand, and liquidity conditions. Dun and Bradstreet forecasts the 10-year G-Sec yield moderating to 6.6%, 91-day Treasury Bill yield moderating to 6.4% from 6.5%, and bank credit growth slowing to 10.5% from 11%, reflecting a combination of easing inflation, stable borrowing, and cautious lending dynamics. The RBI’s liquidity measures—OMO purchases, VVR auctions, and forex swaps—have improved liquidity, pushing short-term yields like the 91-day T-Bill lower. Easing inflation has strengthened expectations of future monetary easing. On the credit front, cautious lending by banks and businesses’ wait-and-watch approach have slowed credit growth despite ongoing investments.

External Sector: In February 2025, the INR/USD exchange rate stood at 87.1. Dun & Bradstreet expects it to remain stable at 87.1 in March 2025 and slightly strengthen to 86.9 by April 2025, due to anticipated stabilization in global economic conditions and a potential easing of capital outflows. Additionally, the Reserve Bank of India’s interventions in the currency market are expected to help maintain exchange rate stability, with the weakening of the dollar being a key factor for the rupee’s strengthening. In mid-March, the trade deficit narrowed to USD13.8 billion, driven by a continued contraction in imports, particularly non-essential goods. In a positive development, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) ended a month-long sell off in Indian stocks with a net inflow of USD 6.94 billion.

Arun Singh, Global Chief Economist, Dun & Bradstreet said, “India’s growth remains robust, driven by strong rural demand, government spending, and a rebound in industrial activity. As April approaches, the focus will shift to sustaining this momentum amid global risks. Inflation has eased, with CPI dropping to a seven-month low, offering the RBI room for potential rate cuts, which could boost domestic demand. However, external risks loom, including potential U.S. tariffs on key exports like pharmaceuticals, railway equipment, and electrical machinery. Currency pressures and capital outflows also pose risks. Balancing global challenges with domestic resilience will be key to sustaining growth.”

D&B’s Economy Observer Forecast

Variables

Forecast

Latest Period

Previous period

IIP Growth

6.3% Feb-25

5.0% Jan-25

3.2% Dec-24

Inflation WPI

2.4% Mar-25

2.4% Jan-25

2.3% Jan-25

CPI (Combined)

3.5% Mar-25

3.6% Feb-25

4.3% Jan-25

Exchange Rate (INR/USD)*

86.9 Apr-25

87.1 Mar-25

87.1 Feb-25

91-day T-Bills*

6.4% Mar-25

6.5% Feb-25

6.6% Jan-25

10-year G-Sec Yield*

6.6% Mar-25

6.7% Feb-25

6.8% Jan-25

Bank Credit

10.5% Mar-25

11% Feb-25

11.4% Jan-25

*Weekly Average ** Dun and Bradstreet Forecasts.

About Dun & Bradstreet:

Dun & Bradstreet, a leading global provider of business decisioning data and analytics, enables companies around the world to improve their business performance. Dun & Bradstreet’s Data Cloud fuels solutions and delivers insights that empower customers to accelerate revenue, lower cost, mitigate risk and transform their businesses. Since 1841, companies of every size have relied on Dun & Bradstreet to help them manage risk and reveal opportunity. For more information on Dun & Bradstreet, please visit www.dnb.com.

Dun & Bradstreet Information Services India Private Limited is headquartered in Mumbai and provides clients with data-driven products and technology-driven platforms to help them take faster and more accurate decisions across finance, risk, compliance, information technology and marketing. Working towards Government of India’s vision of creating an Atmanirbhar Bharat (Self-Reliant India) by supporting the Make in India initiative, Dun & Bradstreet India has a special focus on helping entrepreneurs enhance their visibility, increase their credibility, expand access to global markets, and identify potential customers & suppliers, while managing risk and opportunity.

India is also the home to Dun & Bradstreet Technology & Corporate Services LLP, which is the Global Capabilities Center (GCC) of Dun & Bradstreet supporting global technology delivery using cutting-edge technology. Located at Hyderabad, the GCC has a highly skilled workforce of over 500 employees, and focuses on enhanced productivity, economies of scale, consistent delivery processes and lower operating expenses.

Visit www.dnb.co.in for more information.

Click here for all Dun & Bradstreet India press releases.

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China’s Long March: The Journey Goes On

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MACAO, Oct. 21, 2026 /PRNewswire/ — This is a report from Xinhua News Agency:

There is a chapter of history every Chinese child learns in school.

There is a poem that generations of Chinese people have learned by heart.

There is a song millions can sing from its very first notes.

In stories, in verses, in melodies, they all point to the same chapter of history: the Long March.

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SOURCE Xinhua News Agency

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Target Makes it Easier for Guests to Discover Stylish Holiday Gifts They Can’t Wait to Give

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Target is offering more than 8,000 new gifts, with more than half exclusive to the retailerMost new holiday items at Target are $20 or less, including thousands $5 and underNew AI-powered shopping experiences, daily deals and early Black Friday savings simplify gifting

MINNEAPOLIS, Oct 21, 2026 /PRNewswire/ — Target Corporation (NYSE: TGT) is putting gifting at the heart of the holidays, bringing guests more than 8,000 new stylish gifts they can’t wait to give. More than half of the new assortment is available only at Target, with thousands of gifts priced at $5 and under. New AI-powered shopping experiences, fresh ways to discover gifts and deals throughout the season will make it easier for guests to find something special for everyone on the list.

“This holiday season, guests will see and feel the changes we’ve been making across Target, bringing together the style, design and value they expect from us with an experience that makes shopping easier and more inspiring,” said Michael Fiddelke, chief executive officer, Target. “We know guests turn to Target for gifting, gathering and everything in between, and our team is ready to help busy families discover more joy in those moments throughout the season.”

Stylish gifts at an incredible value
As consumers continue to look for affordable ways to give gifts that feel special, Target is leaning into one of the season’s biggest trends: luxe-for-less gifting. This year’s assortment includes 100% cashmere (excluding functional trim) starting at $25, pajamas for all from $10, festive decor from $5, faux fur throws at $30, top toys from LEGO, Barbie and Nintendo, new and exclusive gifts from prestige, emerging and global beauty brands at Target Beauty Studio, nostalgic sweet treats and host gifts from Favorite Day and exclusive finds for sports and wellness fans, making it easy for guests to find gifts that feel elevated at every price point.

“Guests tell us they want to give gifts that are thoughtful and personal, while feeling good about what they’re spending,” said Cara Sylvester, executive vice president and chief merchandising officer, Target. “That’s why we’ve brought together the brands they love, exciting trends and unexpected finds they won’t see anywhere else — all at prices that make it easier to get that ‘I can’t wait to give this’ gift.”

More ways to discover the perfect gift
New this season, Ask Target, an AI-powered shopping assistant available in beta on Target.com and the Target app, helps guests find inspiration, narrow their choices and shop with confidence and ease. Additional AI-powered features and a digital holiday kids catalog offer more ways to discover gifts for everyone on the list.

Target’s new Academy of Giftology holiday marketing campaign, launching in November, will tackle familiar gifting dilemmas with playful inspiration to help guests gift it their all and find gifts they’ll be excited to give.

More ways to save, from the first gift to the last
Beginning Nov. 1, guests can shop a new Deal of the Day every day through Dec. 24, with a first-ever one-day preview of upcoming offers to help them plan ahead. Early Black Friday deals run Nov. 5–7, followed by new limited-time offers every weekend throughout the holiday season.

The joy of gift giving
Through Target’s partnership with St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital, guests can give a gift that helps give back with the Gigglescape St. Jude bear, with a donation tied to each purchase while supplies last.

About Target
Target Corporation (NYSE: TGT) brings together style, design and value to offer a distinct assortment and elevated shopping experience across more than 2,000 U.S. stores and online. Powered by more than 400,000 team members, Target serves millions of families each week and invests in the communities where they live and work to support growth and opportunity for all.

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SOURCE Target Corporation

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illumend CEO: Building a COI Tracker with AI Is Easy. Verifying Insurance Compliance Is Not.

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Kristen Nunery warns that homegrown Certificate of Insurance tracking tools can create a false sense of security when businesses mistake collecting insurance documents for verifying coverage and compliance

INDIANAPOLIS, Oct. 21, 2026 /PRNewswire/ — As general-purpose artificial intelligence (AI) makes it easier for businesses to build their own software, Kristen Nunery, founder and CEO of illumend, is warning construction and property management companies against a costly misconception: that building a Certificate of Insurance (COI) tracking system is the same as verifying that contractors and other third parties have the insurance coverage their contracts require.

In her new article, “You Can Build a COI Tracker with AI. That Doesn’t Mean You Should,” Nunery explains that general-purpose AI tools such as ChatGPT can help businesses create applications that collect certificates, track expiration dates, and automate reminders. But those capabilities address only part of the insurance compliance process. Determining whether coverage satisfies contractual requirements involves interpreting insurance documents, reviewing endorsements, identifying exclusions and resolving discrepancies that basic tracking software may overlook.

“AI has democratized the ability to build software. It hasn’t democratized the expertise to make the right insurance decision,” said Nunery, who has spent 16 years in insurance compliance. “If you don’t have a compliance process today, you’re not automating a process. You’re automating your best guess.”

Why a COI Tracker Is Not an Insurance Compliance Verification System

According to Nunery, the critical distinction is between tracking the existence and expiration of insurance documents and verifying whether the underlying coverage meets contractual obligations.

A homegrown COI tracker may confirm that a certificate is current, record policy limits, and flag missing documents. But a current certificate does not necessarily mean a contractor is adequately insured or compliant with an agreement’s terms.

For example, a subcontractor may submit a certificate showing sufficient general liability limits and additional insured status. Yet the underlying endorsement may be a CG 20 10 covering ongoing operations only, while the contract also requires completed-operations coverage under a CG 20 37 or equivalent endorsement. A basic tracker could mark the subcontractor as compliant despite the missing coverage.

“The tracker didn’t misread anything,” Nunery said. “It never had the contract requirement, the endorsement language, or the connection between the two.”

Other potential gaps include incorrectly named insured entities, missing endorsements, inadequate completed-operations coverage, and policy provisions that fail to satisfy contractual insurance requirements. Identifying these issues requires evaluating insurance evidence in context, not simply extracting data from a certificate.

Why Insurance Compliance Verification Requires Specialized Technology

Nunery argues that businesses seeking to move beyond basic COI tracking need technology designed specifically for insurance compliance verification, with insurance expertise embedded in how the system evaluates coverage.

Unlike homegrown tracking tools, specialized compliance platforms such as illumend compare insurance documents against established contractual requirements, examine supporting endorsements, identify coverage gaps, and explain findings that require attention.

This approach powers Lumie, illumend’s specialized AI-powered insurance compliance expert. Lumie reviews certificates and endorsements against established requirements, flags potential deficiencies and provides supporting evidence for its determinations, while allowing compliance professionals to review and resolve exceptions.

“AI should do more than flag a problem. It should show you what it found, which requirement it evaluated, and the evidence behind its assessment,” Nunery said. “Lumie applies insurance expertise at scale and creates a clear record of its findings, so teams can act on routine determinations efficiently and focus their attention on exceptions that need a closer look.”

Nunery’s perspective draws on her experience building myCOI, whose technology has reviewed more than 45 million insurance documents and identified more than 2 million coverage gaps before they became claims, according to company figures.

Build a COI Tracker or Buy a Compliance Platform? The Questions Businesses Should Ask

For organizations considering building their own COI software, Nunery recommends first determining whether they need a document-tracking application or a comprehensive insurance compliance verification system.

Basic tracking needs may be addressed with spreadsheets, conventional software, or applications built with general-purpose AI. But verifying compliance requires substantially more: translating contractual insurance requirements into rules, reviewing endorsements and policy evidence, identifying exceptions, documenting decisions, and maintaining an auditable compliance process.

Businesses must also consider who will keep insurance requirements current, validate the system’s determinations, investigate discrepancies, and maintain the records needed to support compliance decisions during claims or audits.

“Building the software happens once,” Nunery said. “Running a compliance system means keeping requirements, evidence, follow-ups, decisions and the audit trail current, every day it’s in use.”

To read Nunery’s full article, visit https://www.illumend.ai/evaluation-buying/build-vs-buy-coi-tracking-software-ai

About illumend
Founded in 2025, illumend™ is the AI-powered platform redefining how businesses manage third-party insurance compliance and risk. Backed by myCOI, the leader in third-party insurance compliance management with more than 16 years of expertise, illumend reimagines compliance by guiding every step of the process—from document review and expiration tracking to risk flagging, communication, and resolution—within one intuitive system. Built on myCOI’s institutional foundation—having processed more than 45 million documents, managed over 1.2 million agreements, cleared more than 750,000 third-party partners, and identified more than two million coverage gaps before claims—illumend brings this depth of compliance intelligence into an AI-native platform. At its core is Lumie, illumend’s conversational AI guide that reads complex insurance documents, flags issues in real time, and explains them in language anyone can act on. To learn more, visit https://www.illumend.ai.

Media contact:
Michael Tebo
Gabriel Marketing Group (for illumend)
Phone: 571-835-8775
Email: michaelt@gabrielmarketing.com

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SOURCE illumend

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