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HOME AFFORDABILITY WORSENS AGAIN ACROSS U.S. IN FOURTH QUARTER AS HOME PRICES KEEP CLIMBING
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2 years agoon
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Major Home-Ownership Expenses Consume 34 Percent of National Average Wage;
IRVINE, Calif., Dec. 19, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — ATTOM, a leading curator of land, property data, and real estate analytics, today released its fourth-quarter 2024 U.S. Home Affordability Report showing that median-priced single-family homes and condos remain less affordable in the fourth quarter of 2024 compared to historical averages in 98 percent of counties around the nation with enough data to analyze. The latest trend continues a three-year pattern of home ownership requiring historically large portions of wages as U.S. home prices keep reaching new heights.
The report also shows that major expenses on median-priced homes currently consume 34 percent of the average national wage. That level marks an increase of more than one percentage point both quarterly and annually, pushing the figure even farther above the common 28 percent lending guideline preferred by lenders.
The downturns in current and historic affordability represent the latest measures of how home ownership remains a financial stretch for average workers around the nation. They come as the national median home price has climbed to $364,750 this quarter and mortgage rates, while declining, remain over 6 percent. Combined, those forces are helping to keep the ratio of ownership expenses to wages in the unaffordable range.
Fourth-quarter trends also have reversed a slight improvement during the third quarter of this year that had signaled a possible step in the right direction for homeowners. The portion of average wages nationwide required for typical mortgage payments, property taxes and insurance now stands almost 13 points beyond a low point reached early in 2021, right before home-mortgage interest rates shot up from the lowest levels in decades.
“The U.S. housing market continues to generate great profits for most home sellers but also more and more financial stress for would-be buyers. Average workers now must shell out a larger portion of their wages for major home-ownership expenses than at any time since right before the housing market tanked in the late 2000s,” said Rob Barber, CEO for ATTOM. “Despite recent declines in mortgage rates, down payments on typical home purchases have reached four times the average national wage.”
He added that “at some point, something’s got to give, or a growing number of buyers will have no choice but to toss in the towel and wait for home ownership to become more affordable. But we clearly are not there yet.”
The latest numbers reflect yet another period when year-over-year changes in major expenses on typical single-family homes and condos have outrun changes in average wages around the country. Expense totals have either grown faster or declined less than wages during 14 of the last 15 quarters dating back to late 2020, pushing affordability in the wrong direction for house hunters.
The report determines affordability for average wage earners by calculating the amount of income needed to meet major monthly home ownership expenses — including mortgage payments, property taxes and insurance — on a median-priced single-family home and condo, assuming a 20 percent down payment and a 28 percent maximum “front-end” debt-to-income ratio. That required income is measured against annualized average weekly wage data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (see full methodology below).
Compared to historical levels, median home ownership costs in 556 of the 566 counties analyzed in the fourth quarter of 2024 are less affordable than in the past. That is virtually unchanged from both the third quarter of 2024 and the fourth quarter of 2023.
Historic measures remain negative as the portion of average local wages consumed by major home-ownership expenses on typical homes are considered unaffordable during the fourth quarter of 2024 in about 70 percent of the 566 counties in the report, based on the 28 percent guideline. Counties with the largest populations that are unaffordable in the fourth quarter are Los Angeles County, CA; Maricopa County (Phoenix), AZ; San Diego County, CA; Orange County, CA (outside Los Angeles) and Miami-Dade County, FL.
On the flip side, the most populous of the counties with affordable levels of major expenses on median-priced homes during the fourth quarter of 2024 are Cook County (Chicago), IL; Harris County (Houston), TX; Wayne County (Detroit), MI; Philadelphia County, PA, and Cuyahoga County (Cleveland), OH.
View Q4 2024 U.S. Home Affordability Heat Map
National median home price up quarterly and annually amid mixed picture at county level
The national median price for single-family homes and condos has risen to a record high of $364,750 in the fourth quarter of 2024. The latest figure represents a 2.1 percent increase over the third quarter of this year and is 11.4 percent above the typical price in the fourth quarter of 2023.
At the county level, the pattern is more varied. Median home prices have increased since the fourth quarter of last year in 503, or 88.9 percent, of the 566 counties included in the report. Quarterly, however, typical values they have risen in only 210, or 37.1 percent of those markets. That is a sign that the latest jump in national median price may be driven more by larger numbers of sales in markets with bigger increases.
Data was analyzed for counties with a population of at least 100,000 and at least 50 single-family home and condo sales in the fourth quarter of 2024 with sufficient data.
Among the 47 counties in the report with a population of at least 1 million, the biggest year-over-year increases in median prices during the fourth quarter of 2024 are in Bronx County, NY (up 13.3 percent annually); Wayne County (Detroit), MI (up 12.9 percent); Cook County (Chicago), IL (up 12.1 percent); Suffolk County (Long Island), NY (up 11.5 percent) and Santa Clara County, CA (up 11 percent).
The only counties with a population of at least 1 million where median prices remain down from the fourth quarter of 2023 to the same period this year are New York County (Manhattan), NY (down 3.3 percent) and Kings County (Brooklyn), NY (down 1 percent).
Prices improving more than wages in three-quarters of U.S.
As home values keep rising throughout most of the U.S., year-over-year price changes have outpaced changes in weekly annualized wages during the fourth quarter of 2024 in 429, or 75.8 percent, of the counties analyzed in the report. That has helped push affordability levels down for average workers around the country.
The latest group of counties where prices have increased more than wages annually include Los Angeles County, CA; Cook County, (Chicago), IL; Maricopa County (Phoenix), AZ; San Diego County, CA, and Orange County, CA (outside Los Angeles).
On the other side of the spectrum, year-over-year changes in average annualized wages have bested price movements during the fourth quarter of 2024 in just 137 of the counties analyzed (24.2 percent).
Home ownership consuming larger portion of wages in majority of U.S.
Despite falling mortgage rates in recent months, the portion of average local wages consumed by major expenses on median-priced single-family homes and condos has risen quarterly in 357, or 63.1 percent, of the 566 counties analyzed, although it is still down annually in slightly more than half.
Nationwide, the typical $2,092 cost of mortgage payments, homeowner insurance, mortgage insurance and property taxes is up 4.6 percent quarterly and 6.1 percent annually to a new all-time high. That has outpaced the 1 percent quarterly and 3.1 annual gains in the average national wage.
The latest expense total commonly consumes 34 percent of the average annual national wage of $73,918. That is up from 32.5 percent the third quarter of 2024 and from 32.7 percent in the fourth quarter of last year. The current level is nearly 13 percentage points more than a recent low point of 21.3 percent hit in the first quarter of 2021.
The cost-to-wage ratio exceeds the 28 percent lending guideline in 436, or 77 percent, of the counties analyzed, assuming a 20 percent down payment. That percentage is unchanged from the third quarter of 2024, based on the same group of counties, but is up slightly from 75.4 percent a year ago. It is far above the 31 percent figure recorded in early 2021.
In about one-third the markets analyzed around the U.S., major expenses consume at least 43 percent of average local wages, a benchmark considered seriously unaffordable.
Affordability downturns over the past year have hit hardest in low- and mid-priced markets, where prices fall below $350,000, with concentrations in the Northeast and Midwest. Those areas generally have been among the more affordable for local wage earners – a sign that they could be headed into the same difficult territory as more expensive markets.
Home ownerships on Northeast and West coasts still pose biggest financial burden for buyers
All but two of the top 25 counties where major ownership costs require the largest percentage of average local wages in the fourth quarter of 2024 are on the Northeast or West coasts, extending past trends. The leaders are Santa Cruz County, CA (115.5 percent of annualized local wages needed to buy a single-family home or condo); Maui County, HI (114.6 percent); Marin County, CA (outside San Francisco) (109.7 percent); Kings County (Brooklyn), NY (106.5 percent) and San Luis Obispo County, CA (96.2 percent).
Aside from Kings County, those with a population of at least 1 million where major ownership expenses typically consume more than 28 percent of average local wages in the fourth quarter of 2024 include Orange County, CA (outside Los Angeles) (96 percent required); Queens County, NY (79.4 percent); Alameda County (Oakland), CA (77.2 percent) and San Diego County, CA (72.9 percent).
Counties where the smallest portion of average local wages are required to afford the median-priced home during the fourth quarter of this year are Cambria County, PA (east of Pittsburgh) (11.5 percent of annualized weekly wages needed to buy a home); Schuylkill County, PA (outside Allentown) (12.8 percent); Macon County (Decatur), IL (13.3 percent); Peoria County, IL (13.4 percent) and Mobile County, AL (13.6 percent).
Wage needed to afford typical home 21 percent above U.S. average
Major home ownership expenses on typical homes sold in the fourth quarter of 2024 require an annual income of $89,649 to be affordable. That is 21.3 percent more than the latest average national wage of $73,918.
Annual wages of more than $75,000 are needed to pay for major costs on median-priced homes purchased during the fourth quarter of 2024 in 325, or 57.4 percent, of the 566 markets in the report. That continues to pose major obstacles as average wages exceed that amount in just 13.6 percent of the counties reviewed.
The 20 counties with the highest annual wages required to afford typical homes remain along the east or west coasts, led by San Mateo County, CA ($404,277); Santa Clara County (San Jose), CA ($377,190); Marin County, CA (outside San Francisco) ($360,875); New York County (Manhattan), NY ($357,923) and San Francisco County, CA ($346,004).
The lowest annual wages required to afford a median-priced home in the fourth quarter of 2024 are in Cambria County, PA (east of Pittsburgh) ($20,235); Schuylkill County, PA (outside Allentown) ($24,415); Robeson County, NC (outside Fayetteville) ($26,656); Mercer County, PA ($27,390) and Mobile County, AL ($29,356).
Home ownership still unaffordable by historical standards throughout U.S.
Home ownership is less affordable in the fourth quarter of 2024 compared to historic averages in 98.2 percent of the 566 counties analyzed. That is about the same as the level in both the third quarter of 2024 and the fourth quarter of last year, but more than 20 times higher than the 4.6 percent portion in the first quarter of 2021.
Historical indexes have worsened quarterly, mostly by small amounts, in about two-thirds of the counties reviewed. That had dropped the nationwide index to its lowest point since 2007.
Counties with a population of at least 1 million that are less affordable than their historic averages (indexes of less than 100 are considered historically less affordable) include Wayne County (Detroit), MI (index of 61); Fulton County (Atlanta), GA (65); Mecklenburg County (Charlotte), NC (65); Broward County (Fort Lauderdale), FL (65) and Hillsborough County (Tampa), FL (66).
Overall, counties with the worst affordability indexes in the fourth quarter of 2024 are Jasper County (Carthage), MO (index of 54); Jackson County, MS (56); Beaver County, PA (outside Pittsburgh) (56); Navajo County, AZ (Holbrook), AZ (57) and Muskegon County, MI (57).
The nationwide index of 74 is worse than in the third quarter of this year (78) and the fourth quarter of last year (77).
Report Methodology
The ATTOM U.S. Home Affordability Index analyzed median home prices derived from publicly recorded sales deed data collected by ATTOM and average wage data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics in 566 U.S. counties with a combined population of 250.7 million during the fourth quarter of 2024. The affordability index is based on the percentage of average wages needed to pay for major expenses on a median-priced home with a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage and a 20 percent down payment. Those expenses include property taxes, home insurance, mortgage payments and mortgage insurance. Average 30-year fixed interest rates from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey were used to calculate monthly house payments.
The report determined affordability for average wage earners by calculating the amount of income needed for major home-ownership expenses on median-priced homes, assuming a loan of 80 percent of the purchase price and a 28 percent maximum “front-end” debt-to-income ratio. For example, affording the nationwide median home price of $364,750 in the fourth quarter of 2024 requires an annual wage of $89,649. That is based on a $72,950 down payment, a $291,800 loan and monthly expenses not exceeding the 28 percent barrier — meaning wage earners would not be spending more than 28 percent of their pay on mortgage payments, property taxes and insurance. That required income is more than the $73,918 average wage nationwide, based on the most recent average weekly wage data available from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, making a median-priced home nationwide unaffordable for average workers.
About ATTOM
ATTOM provides premium property data and analytics that power a myriad of solutions that improve transparency, innovation, digitization and efficiency in a data-driven economy. ATTOM multi-sources property tax, deed, mortgage, foreclosure, environmental risk, natural hazard, and neighborhood data for more than 155 million U.S. residential and commercial properties covering 99 percent of the nation’s population. A rigorous data management process involving more than 20 steps validates, standardizes, and enhances the real estate data collected by ATTOM, assigning each property record with a persistent, unique ID — the ATTOM ID. The 30TB ATTOM Data Warehouse fuels innovation in many industries including mortgage, real estate, insurance, marketing, government and more through flexible data delivery solutions that include ATTOM Cloud, bulk file licenses, property data APIs, real estate market trends, property navigator and more. Also, introducing our newest innovative solution, making property data more readily accessible and optimized for AI applications – AI-Ready Solutions.
Media Contact:
Megan Hunt
Megan.hunt@attomdata.com
Data and Report Licensing:
949.502.8313
datareports@attomdata.com
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SOURCE ATTOM
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For questions or to schedule an interview, please contact corporatepr@rtx.com.
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Structured Decisions:
GLiDE takes an application’s current state and a defined set of options, then returns one selected action, a confidence score, and a probability for every option. Because the output is structured, developers can act on it immediately, set confidence thresholds, or route uncertain cases to a human, without parsing or validating free-form text.
Adaptive Thinking:
Every decision starts with a fast first pass. When GLiDE is confident, it answers right away. When it isn’t, it thinks further and folds that reasoning into its final probabilities. In testing, roughly two-thirds of requests were resolved on the fast path, with reasoning reserved for the remaining third. Easy decisions stay fast, and hard ones get the compute they need.
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GLiDE’s biggest gains over Jev come on reasoning-intensive tasks and tool use. It leads by 11.5 skill points in Knowledge and Reasoning (62.9 vs 51.4) and 8.4 points in Tools and Automation (83.5 vs 75.1). On CRUXEval, which tests code reasoning, GLiDE scores 92.6% accuracy versus Jev’s 73.0%, and on CLadder, which tests causal reasoning, it scores 88.7% versus 72.6%. Its 40,000 token context window fits full policies, contracts, runbooks, and support histories.
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Use Cases:
GLiDE handles the everyday classification and routing tasks served by existing decision models while extending to decisions that require deeper reasoning. Any application that combines context with a defined set of choices can use the same interface. Straightforward decisions remain fast, while uncertain decisions automatically receive additional reasoning.
Navigating large agent action graphs. Select the next action from hundreds of tools and possible paths while accounting for prerequisites, previous results, permissions, failure states, and downstream consequences.Controlling high-risk agent actions. Evaluate a proposed database, infrastructure, or financial operation against the agent’s permissions, organizational policies, system state, and potential impact before deciding whether to execute, sandbox, request approval, or block it.Diagnosing production incidents. Combine alerts, logs, recent deployments, dependency health, and runbook instructions to choose among monitoring, restarting, rolling back, isolating, or escalating.Applying complex contracts and policies. Trace cross-references, exceptions, dates, thresholds, and conflicting clauses to determine whether a claim should be approved, rejected, revised, or escalated.Verifying reasoning-intensive model output. Check answers that depend on arithmetic, temporal reasoning, code execution paths, causal relationships, or multiple supporting facts, then decide whether to accept, reject, or request revision.Resolving constrained operational decisions. Choose among predefined plans using scheduling requirements, eligibility rules, resource limits, configuration dependencies, and competing priorities.
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GLiDE is available now through the Fastino API under the model ID fastino/GLiDE. Get started and see pricing at docs.fastino.ai.
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Fastino Labs is an applied AI research lab building small open weight models and the infrastructure to make them continuously better in production. Founded in 2024 and based in San Francisco, California, Fastino is the creator of the GLiNER open source model family and the first agentic fine-tuning and adaptive inference platform. The company is backed by Khosla Ventures, Insight Partners, M12, NEA, and others. Learn more at fastino.ai.
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Starting October 1, purchase three qualifying ARM & HAMMER™ Baking Soda products for a chance to win a Grand Prize family getaway to a LEGOLAND® Resort, plus receive a Buy One, Get One Free LEGOLAND® ticket offer.
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Known for its 100+ uses, ARM & HAMMER Baking Soda has been a household staple for generations, giving families countless ways to make more out of one simple orange box. Now, together with LEGOLAND Resorts, the brand is extending that spirit of possibility beyond the home, giving families a new way to play, explore and create together.
“ARM & HAMMER Baking Soda has always been about encouraging families to think beyond the box, whether they’re tackling everyday household tasks, experimenting with STEAM or finding new ways to get creative together,” said Aaron Greengard, Associate Marketing Director at ARM & HAMMER Baking Soda. “By teaming up with LEGOLAND Resorts, we’re bringing that same sense of creativity and fun to life in a new way, giving families the chance to turn an everyday purchase into an unforgettable experience.”
Beginning October 1, consumers will find limited-edition LEGOLAND themed artwork on ARM & HAMMER™ Baking Soda’s iconic orange box, along with a special ticket offer and the chance to win a grand prize LEGOLAND getaway.
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A Chance to Win a LEGOLAND Adventure
Starting October 1 through December 31, consumers can purchase three qualifying ARM & HAMMER Baking Soda products and submit their receipt at AHxLEGOLAND.com or scan the QR code on limited-edition pack. Participants will receive a Buy One, Get One Free LEGOLAND ticket offer, redeemable at LEGOLAND Resorts in California, Florida and New York.*
Participants will also be entered for the chance to win a grand-prize getaway to the LEGOLAND Resort of their choice in the U.S., including round-trip airfare for four, two nights of hotel accommodations and four LEGOLAND tickets.
For more information about the ARM & HAMMER Baking Soda and LEGOLAND Resorts promotion, including full offer details and official rules, visit AHxLEGOLAND.com.
* NO PURCHASE NECESSARY TO ENTER OR WIN. A purchase will not increase your chances of winning. Sweepstakes begins at 12:00 a.m. ET on 10/1/2026 and ends at 11:59 p.m. ET on 12/31/2026. Open only to legal residents of the 50 US/DC, 18+ years of age. For Official Rules, including how to enter, odds, prize details and restrictions, visit AHxLEGOLAND.com. Void where prohibited. Message and data rates may apply. Sponsor: Church & Dwight Co., Inc., Princeton South Corporate Center, 500 Charles Ewing Blvd. Ewing, NJ 08628.
About ARM & HAMMER™
For more than 180 years, ARM & HAMMER™ continues to provide trusted and hardworking products consumers love. ARM & HAMMER™ has all your needs covered from cleaning and laundry to personal and oral care to pets. For more information, please visit https://www.armandhammer.com.
About Church & Dwight Co., Inc.
With a rich heritage of commitment to people and the planet for over 180 years, Church & Dwight is committed to conducting our operations in a sustainable and environmentally responsible manner using recycled materials in our cartons. We are continually assessing the impacts of our operations on the environment while developing, manufacturing, and marketing a broad range of consumer household, personal care and specialty products with sustainability efforts incorporated into our new product innovation including Arm & Hammer™, TheraBreath™, OxiClean™, Waterpik™, Orajel™, Hero™, Viviscal™, Zicam™, and Batiste™.
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LEGOLAND® Resorts bring the LEGO® brand to life on an epic scale. Merlin Entertainments – which holds the exclusive rights to the LEGOLAND brand – currently operates 11 parks globally with locations spanning North America, Europe, and Asia – including properties in California, Florida, New York, Denmark, the United Kingdom, Germany, Dubai, Japan, Malaysia and China. It is realizing the growth potential of these theme parks by expanding them into ‘mega-resort’ short break destinations, offering guests themed accommodation, second gate attractions (including waterparks) and LEGO themed experiences that are rich in interactive features. Designed to provide creative, interactive, and educational experiences for families with children ages 2 to 12, LEGOLAND Resorts invite guests to step inside the colorful world of LEGO where imagination comes to life. See www.LEGOLAND.com for more information.
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SOURCE Arm & Hammer Baking Soda (Church & Dwight Inc).
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