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Price analysis 3/10: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, SOL, DOGE, ADA, PI

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Bitcoin (BTC) bulls tried to push the price above $85,000, but the bears held their ground. A minor positive is that larger investors seem to be accumulating at lower levels.

Research firm Santiment said in a post on X that wallets with 10 BTC or more have bought roughly 5,000 Bitcoin since March 3. The researchers added that if buying by the large players continues, the second half of March could be much better than the recent performance of Bitcoin.

However, not everyone is bullish on Bitcoin in the near term. BitMEX co-founder and Maelstrom chief investment officer Arthur Hayes said in a post on X that Bitcoin could retest $78,000 and even below $75,000.

He added that Bitcoin’s price action could become violent if it drops in the $70,000 to $75,000 zone as a lot of Bitcoin open interest is stuck in that range.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Meanwhile, short-term investor sentiment remains bearish. According to CoinShares data, cryptocurrency exchange-traded products (ETPs) witnessed $876 million in outflows last week, taking the four-week total outflows to $4.75 billion. Bitcoin ETPs recorded the lion’s share of outflows at $756 million.

Can Bitcoin start a recovery from the current levels, pulling altcoins higher? Let’s analyze the charts to find out.

S&P 500 Index price analysis

The S&P 500 Index (SPX) turned down from the 20-day exponential moving average (5,900) on March 3 and broke below the 5,773 support on March 6, completing a double-top pattern.

SPX daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The index bounced off the 5,670 level on March 7, but the bears successfully defended the breakdown level of 5,773. The index turned down and broke below the 5,670 support on March 10, opening the doors for a fall to 5,400.

Buyers will have to push and sustain the price above 5,773 to suggest solid demand at lower levels. The index could then rise to the 20-day EMA, which is again expected to act as a strong resistance. 

US Dollar Index price analysis

The US Dollar Index (DXY) turned down sharply on March 3 and continued lower, breaking below the 105.42 support on March 5.

DXY daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The fall below 105.42 suggests that the breakout above 108 may have been a bull trap. Buyers are trying to defend the 103.73 level, but the relief rally is expected to face selling at the 20-day EMA (106.03). 

If the price turns down from the current level or the 20-day EMA, it will suggest a negative sentiment. That increases the risk of a break below 103.37. If that happens, the index may plunge to 101.

Buyers have an uphill task ahead of them. They will have to push and maintain the price above the 20-day EMA to clear the path for a rally to 108.

Bitcoin price analysis

BTC price broke below the support line of the symmetrical triangle pattern on March 9, indicating that the sellers have overpowered the buyers.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bulls are trying to defend the $81,500 to $78,258 support zone, but the recovery attempt faced selling at the breakdown level on March 10. That suggests the bears are trying to flip the support line into resistance. If the price skids below $78,258, the BTC/USDT pair could collapse to $73,777.

Buyers are likely to have other plans. They will try to defend the support zone and push the price above the 20-day EMA ($88,605). If they manage to do that, the pair could rally to the resistance line.

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) fell and closed below the vital $2,111 support on March 9, signaling the start of the next leg of the downtrend.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Buyers tried to push the price above $2,111 on March 10, but the long wick on the candlestick suggests solid selling by the bears. There is minor support at $1,993, but if the level cracks, the ETH/USDT pair could sink to $1,750 and eventually to $1,550.

Related: Ethereum price bottom? $1.8B in ETH leaves exchanges, biggest outflow since 2022

The bulls will have to push and maintain the price above the 20-day EMA ($2,329) to signal that the break below $2,111 may have been a bear trap. The pair could then rally to the 50-day SMA ($2,711).

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) continues to slide toward the crucial support at $2, suggesting that the bears are trying to seize control.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

A break and close below $2 will complete a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern. There is minor support at $1.77, but the level is likely to be broken. If that happens, the XRP/USDT pair could plunge toward $1.28.

Related: Is XRP price going to crash again?

Contrary to this assumption, a solid bounce off $2 will signal that the bulls are vigorously defending this level. The 20-day EMA ($2.40) is likely to act as a stiff hurdle, but if the bulls prevail, the pair could reach $2.80.

BNB price analysis

BNB’s (BNB) failure to rise above the 20-day EMA ($601) attracted another round of selling on March 9, pulling the price below $546.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The down-sloping moving averages and the relative strength index (RSI) in the negative zone suggest that the path of least resistance is to the downside. If the price maintains below $546, the BNB/USDT pair could plummet to $500. Buyers are expected to aggressively defend the zone between $500 and $460.

The 20-day EMA is the first significant resistance to watch out for on the upside. If this level gets taken out, the pair could rise to the 50-day SMA ($633). A close above the 50-day SMA signals a short-term trend change.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) broke below the uptrend line on March 9 and reached the strong support zone between $120 and $110.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bulls are expected to fiercely defend the support zone, but the relief rally could face selling at the 20-day EMA ($150). If the price turns down sharply from the 20-day EMA, the $110 level will be at risk of breaking down. If that happens, the SOL/USDT pair could decline to $100 and later to $80.

Instead, if the price rises from the current level and breaks above the 20-day EMA, it will suggest solid buying near the support zone. The pair could then climb to the 50-day SMA ($188).

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) fell below the $0.18 support on March 9, indicating the resumption of the downtrend.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The down-sloping moving averages and the RSI in the oversold territory suggest that bears have the upper hand. The 20-day EMA ($0.21) is the critical overhead resistance to watch out for. If the price turns down sharply from the 20-day EMA, the DOGE/USDT pair could sink to $0.14.

Alternatively, a break and close above the 20-day EMA will be the first sign that the selling pressure is reducing. The pair could climb to the 50-day SMA ($0.26), which may also act as a stiff resistance.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano (ADA) fell below the moving averages on March 8, indicating aggressive selling by the bears.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Both moving averages have started to turn down, and the RSI has slipped into negative territory, indicating that the bears have a slight edge. The support on the downside is at $0.58 and then $0.50.

Any relief rally is likely to face selling at the moving averages. Buyers will have to push and maintain the price above the moving averages to signal a comeback. The ADA/USDT pair could then rise toward $1.02.

Pi price analysis

Pi (PI) fell to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $1.20 on March 9, indicating that the bears have kept up the pressure.

PI/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Buyers are trying to start a recovery, but the long wick on the March 10 candlestick shows selling at higher levels. That increases the risk of a break below $1.20. If that happens, the PI/USDT pair could plunge to the 78.6% retracement level of $0.72.

Time is running out for the bulls. To prevent more downside, they will have to quickly push the price above the $2 overhead resistance. If they do that, it will suggest that the correction may be over.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Coin Market

BFI charity allocates $90M, pledges $200M for health, climate initiatives

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Blockchain For Impact (BFI), a charity established by Polygon co-founder Sandeep Nailwal, has committed $90 million to advance biomedical research, driving healthcare innovation, and enhancing climate resilience — a development that could spur blockchain’s adoption for charity initiatives.

The Polygon co-founder’s BFI plans to allocate an additional $200 million to support the growth of healthcare startups, expand biomedical research, and strengthen the public health systems.

BFI has backed several impactful projects in India’s healthcare sector, including Solar-Powered Public Health Centers (PHCs), a floating hospital in Assam to aid communities in flood-prone areas, the UNICEF Healthcare Innovation Partnership, and relief funding during the COVID-19 crisis. Their further initiatives will place a greater emphasis on healthcare innovation and research.

Incorporating blockchain technology can make philanthropic efforts more transparent and accountable thanks to the ledger’s verifiability, according to Sandeep Nailwal, Founder of Blockchain for Impact and co-founder of Polygon.

Nailwal told Cointelegraph:

“All donations received by BFI can be tracked through blockchain. While the final transfer to non-profit programs happens through a bank, every financial step is transparently displayed on our website. All financial data can be visualized, and we publish NGO details, allowing anyone to independently verify the disbursements.”

“Separately, the $68 million we channeled for COVID-19 relief in India, including $15 million to the Government of India through UNICEF for 128 million syringes during COVID-19, followed the same approach,” said Nailwal, adding:

“Anyone, be it donors or communities, can see where the money goes. This shows up in the results: 96% of healthcare workers say care has improved, and vaccine wastage dropped 83% because refrigeration is steady.”

Source: The Given Block Annual Report

According to The Giving Block’s report, BFI exemplifies the rapid growth of crypto philanthropy, with its $90 million in donations representing 9% of all cryptocurrency contributions tracked globally in 2024.

This surge aligns with the transformative potential of digital donations to enhance transparency and efficiency in fund allocation. The same report reveals that over 70% of the top 100 US-based charities now accept crypto.

Related: Crypto giving exceeded $1B in 2024 — Report

Global charities are embracing crypto donations

Charitable organizations are increasingly embracing cryptocurrency donations, thanks to the transparency of the blockchain ledger, which makes donations publicly traceable and reduces the transaction fees of charitable transactions compared to fiat-based donations.

Beyond just the US, charities across the globe embrace crypto donations, including large charities like the UK Red Cross and Singapore Red Cross. Save the Children, a leading international nonprofit organization, disclosed that they had received $8.6 million in crypto donations so far.

Source: Save The Children Website

As cryptocurrency adoption grows, so does the need for secure and compliant solutions for nonprofits. The Given Block announced its partnership with Gemini on March 13. The organization thinks artificial intelligence can help make crypto in philanthropy more secure.

Crypto donations have the potential to enhance charitable revenue. A report from Fast Company found that nonprofits with a strong track record of transparency experienced a 53% increase in contributions on average the following year compared to organizations lacking such transparency. As donation transparency improves, donor willingness to contribute also increases.

As the crypto market continues to grow, crypto donations are expected to be increasingly accepted by more organizations. The Giving Block estimates crypto donations in 2035 would be approximately $89.27 billion.

Additional reporting by Zoltan Vardai.

Magazine: Crypto is changing how humanitarian agencies deliver aid and services

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Solana stablecoin positioning threatens ‘extreme’ SOL volatility

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Investors’ stablecoin positioning on the Solana network and a key technical chart pattern threaten more volatility for the Solana token, which may see a decisive moment for its price action.

Solana’s transport layer saw “extreme” volatility in trading the Tether’s USDt (USDT) stablecoin, which may indicate that traders are repositioning in search of new investment opportunities.

USDT trading on Solana’s transport layer saw an over 137% surge during the last week of February, after seeing a 61% plunge during the previous week, according to a report by global payments infrastructure platform Mercuryo, shared with Cointelegraph.

The stablecoin trading spikes show an unparalleled level of trading activity that may signal more volatility for the Solana (SOL) token, according to Petr Kozyakov, co-founder and CEO of Mercuryo.

The “frenetic activity” may “indicate that the chain is prone to be more volatile,” the CEO told Cointelegraph, adding:

“However, Solana’s inherent strengths – fast transaction processing, high scalability, and an active trading ecosystem – may also be factors. This is against a backdrop of an ecosystem attracting at times high trading volumes.”

“Notably, DEX’s on Solana, such as Jupiter and Raydium, have ignited significant interest,” he added.

Related: Crypto market’s biggest risks in 2025: US recession, circular crypto economy

Meanwhile, a key emerging technical chart pattern may be decisive for Solana’s price action in the near term.

Source: Trader Tardigrade

“Solana Heikin Ashi hourly chart shows a Converging Triangle. Both bullish or bearish moves are possible,” wrote pseudonymous crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade in a March 19 X post.

Related: Bitcoin beats global assets post-Trump election, despite BTC correction

Memecoins, FTX repayments may be limiting SOL price

While some analysts suggest that the current memecoin frenzy has been siphoning liquidity from the Solana token, multiple other factors are influencing SOL’s price action.

Notably, the incoming repayments from bankrupt FTX exchange may limit Solana’s price action, explained Kozyakov, adding:

“The defunct FTX exchange has set up a repayment plan that involves distributing a large amount of SOL tokens to creditors, which can potentially result in selling pressure.”

FTX and Alameda Research-linked wallets unstaked $431 million of SOL tokens on March 4, marking the biggest SOL token unlock since November 2023, Cointelegraph reported.

Although FTX and Alameda unlocked more than $400 million in SOL, the firms may not be able to sell all the tokens in a single transaction. In September 2023, the Delaware Bankruptcy Court approved FTX’s plan to sell digital assets, imposing strict limits on liquidation amounts.

Under the court ruling, the bankrupt exchange can sell digital assets weekly through an investment adviser, with an initial limit of $50 million in the first week and $100 million in subsequent weeks. If FTX seeks to sell more, it must request court approval to raise the limit to $200 million per week.

FTX’s next round of repayments will take place on May 30. Under FTX’s recovery plan, 98% of creditors are expected to receive at least 118% of their claim value in cash. In May 2024, the exchange estimated the distribution’s total value to range between $14.5 billion and $16.3 billion.

Magazine: ETH may bottom at $1.6K, SEC delays multiple crypto ETFs, and more: Hodler’s Digest, March 9 – 15

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AI and crypto drive criminal efficiency: Europol

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The European Union Agency for Law Enforcement Cooperation (Europol) published a report explaining how artificial intelligence and crypto affected organized crime. 

In a threat assessment report on serious and organized crime, Europol stated that AI and crypto play a role in criminal efficiency. The law enforcement organization said criminal networks have demonstrated an ability to rapidly adapt to new technology. 

The report said AI’s transformative qualities make it an attractive tool for criminals. The report said that generative AI had “lowered the barriers to entry” for digital crimes. 

The government agency said AI lets criminals craft messages in multiple languages, targeting victims more precisely and globally. It also allowed malicious actors to create malware and child sexual abuse material. 

How AI and crypto drive criminal efficiency

Europol also stated that AI’s automation capabilities have been transforming the efficiency of criminal operations. The government agency said criminals can automate their phishing campaigns using AI. Because of this, malicious actors can reach more victims with large-scale cyberattacks. 

Europol said in the report that realistic synthetic media allows criminals to deceive victims, impersonate individuals and blackmail their targets. The organization wrote: 

“The addition of AI-powered voice cloning and live video deepfakes amplifies the threat, enabling new forms of fraud, extortion, and identity theft.”

On Feb. 13, Blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis said that generative AI is “amplifying scams.” The analytics company said AI is making scams more affordable and more scalable. Chainalysis’ head of fraud products, Elad Fouk, said AI facilitates the creation of fake identities, allowing fraudsters to impersonate real users.

Apart from AI, the report also noted how blockchain-based technologies like cryptocurrency and non-fungible tokens (NFTs) have moved beyond cybercrime and are now involved in other traditional crime areas. This includes drug trafficking and migrant smuggling. 

Europol also said that more criminal schemes have emerged to steal crypto, NFTs and resources used to mine crypto. 

Related: Hacker breaks into AI crypto bot aixbt’s dashboard to snatch 55 ETH

ZachXBT says the Bybit hack shows how the industry is “cooked” 

The most recent high-profile criminal activity in the crypto space is the Bybit hack, which led to nearly $1.5 billion in losses. In a Telegram post, crypto investigator ZachXBT said the hack has been “eye-opening,” showing how the industry is “unbelievably cooked” with hacks and exploits. 

The crypto sleuth said the industry may be unable to fix itself unless the government “forcibly passes regulations that hurt our entire industry.” The investigator shared that as he helped freeze funds related to the hack, he witnessed flaws with decentralized and centralized protocols. ZachXBT wrote: 

“Several ‘decentralized’ protocols have recently had nearly 100% of their monthly volume/fees derived from DPRK and refuse to take any accountability.”

The crypto investigator said North Korean hackers laundering the funds have demonstrated the flaws of Know Your Transaction and Know Your Customer protocols. 

“Centralized exchanges end up being worse as when illicit funds flow through them a few take multiple hours to respond when it only takes minutes to launder,” ZachXBT said.

Magazine: Classic Sega, Atari and Nintendo games get crypto makeovers: Web3 Gamer

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