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US gov’t actions give clue about upcoming crypto regulation

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The early days of the Trump administration saw a flurry of activity that could give the crypto industry an idea of forthcoming crypto regulations, namely that they may not be regulated as securities. 

Practitioners have decried a lack of concrete change in the form of new rules and guidance. The skeptics have their reasons. The formation of the crypto task force, Trump’s crypto executive order, crypto czar David Sacks’ lone press conference, and the digital asset reserve has been criticized as mere theater.

The real work of regulating comes not in press conferences but in the guidance, enforcement, and rulemaking that support the structure of rules-based systems.

A faithful account of all of the cryptocurrency decisions from the Trump administration reveals a new approach to enforcement and regulation that could meaningfully affect the rights of operators in the United States. 

Trump’s regulatory approach opens up banking to crypto

In the dog days of the Biden administration, a policy known as “Operation Chokepoint 2.0” became a major scandal in certain crypto media channels. The allegations were that, during the Obama administration, the Justice Department developed a program called Operation Choke Point that it used to surveil and curtail certain disfavored businesses like payday lenders and firearms dealers. 

Some speculated that the Biden administration adopted the same policies for cryptocurrency companies. There was a lot of back and forth over this issue — some denied it ever happened, but many cryptocurrency firms and individuals lost access to banking services.

Whether this was a directive or simply an unforeseen consequence of other policies, many in the industry were incensed; the issue became politically charged. 

Crypto execs went on popular shows and podcasts like The Joe Rogan Experience to discuss debanking. Source: Nic Carter

As a result, one of the first steps the Trump administration took regarding crypto was to fix the industry’s debanking problem. This began only two days after Trump took office with Staff Accounting Bulletin 122 (SAB 122), a directive that repealed the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) SAB 121 — which had effectively prohibited banks from holding cryptocurrencies by making it difficult and inefficient to do so. 

On March 7, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) released its own interpretive guidance, Letter 1183, itself undoing Letter 1179. The latter required banks to ask OCC’s permission to participate in certain crypto-native activities like custodying cryptocurrency, holding stablecoin reserve deposits and functioning as validation nodes.

On March 28, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) followed up with its own guidance. It rescinded the Biden era FIL-16-2022, which required FDIC-supervised institutions to notify the FDIC of their intent to dabble in crypto and provide information on possible risks. 

Acting FDIC Chair Travis Hill also signaled that “banking regulators should not use reputational risk as a basis for supervisory criticisms” at all.

It may be difficult to separate the effects of these policies so early in the administration because banks are large institutions and move slowly. But across three agencies the rules have changed substantially and dramatically, which could have major effects on cryptocurrency access to banking services in the medium to long term. 

Fully dismissed crypto cases 

Virtually every pending SEC matter with a cryptocurrency defendant has been dropped. While nice for the targets, it doesn’t create much precedent that anyone can build off of. That said, the result does suggest that the underlying activities in those dropped cases won’t be pursued for enforcement, at least for the immediate future.

Related: Ripple celebrates SEC’s dropped appeal, but crypto rules still not set

It’s helpful, then, to consider what activities have received implied license through this campaign of dropped enforcement.

There are a number of cases in which the SEC filed a complaint and litigated to varying degrees of resolution, which the commission either fully dropped or settled without admissions of wrongdoing on the part of the targets:

Feb. 27, 2025 — Coinbase Inc. 

March 3, 2025 — Payward, Inc. (Kraken)

March 25, 2025 — Ripple Labs, Inc.

March 27, 2025 — Cumberland DRW LLC 

March 27, 2025 — Consensys Software, Inc.

These cases revolved around the unregistered sale and offer of securities under the Securities Act of 1933, and acting unregistered as a broker, dealer, clearing agency and exchange. While the allegations and actors are different, the common thread between them is that none would be subject to the laws in question if the underlying assets were not themselves securities.

The sole exception is Consensys, which was accused of providing staking as a service without first registering it as a security. While the texture of this claim is familiar, the activity is somewhat different than the pure offer and sale of securities. 

This dismissal, along with the related guidance concerning mining pools, suggests that the current SEC does not consider most token-generating activities to be investment contracts, either. 

Crypto firms were quick to celebrate after the SEC dropped cases against them. Source: Bill Hughes

Stayed pending resolution

Other cases have been filed in court and halted through joint motions to pause the suits. This is presumably in anticipation of eventually dismissing them, but since they have not yet been dismissed, it is hard to say for sure. 

Feb. 11, 2025 — Binance and Changpeng Zhao (CZ)

Feb. 25, 2025 — Tron Foundation and Justin Sun

April 2, 2025 — Gemini Trust Company, LLC 

These cases mostly differ from the ones that have already been dropped in that, in the case of Binance and Tron, the government brought allegations not just of unregistered operation but of actual fraud as well. The pause indicates the government may be conciliatory, but the aggravating nature of these allegations is stalling resolution. 

Gemini fits more naturally into the category above, and it is not clear why that case has not yet been dropped.

SEC drops investigations into crypto firms

There are other cases where the SEC opened investigations and even issued Wells notices indicating potential enforcement. However, the commission has reportedly ceased investigations after Trump’s inauguration. 

Feb. 21, 2025 — Robinhood Crypto, LLC

Feb. 21, 2025 — Ozone Networks, Inc. (OpenSea)

Feb. 25, 2025 — Universal Navigation Inc. (Uniswap Labs)

March 3, 2025 — Yuga Labs

The investigations were focused around allegations that non-fungible tokens (NFTs) were securities, or that intermediaries like Robinhood or Uniswap were operating as unregistered brokers.  

While little has come of these actions, on balance they match the trend suggested above.

What the dismissals say quietly

None of the dismissals could be considered an SEC edict that certain crypto activities are legal. But taken together, these dismissals, pauses and dropped investigations paint a clear picture of how the current SEC thinks about cryptocurrency’s place in securities regimes. 

The SEC dropped charges where allegations revolved around operating as a broker, dealer, clearing house or exchange. This is consistent with the position that the underlying assets themselves are not securities. 

The same is true about cases of issuance. The commission dropped charges alleging that an entity issued securities in the form of cryptocurrency tokens.

Still, claims of fraud and market manipulation have not yet been dropped. This might indicate a reticence among commission attorneys to let these claims go. Still, if the assets at hand are not securities, the SEC will not be the correct agency to bring those claims, and so, if the SEC is consistent, then it will likely drop these cases too.

Furthermore, in three official statements, the SEC notified the public that traditional memecoins, proof-of-work mining, including pooled mining, and traditional “covered” or asset-backed stablecoins denominated in dollars are not subject to securities laws.

Related: Crypto has a regulatory capture problem in Washington — or does it?

This, alongside the chain of dismissals, suggests that secondary market sales of fungible cryptocurrency tokens, NFTs, and staking-as-a-service products are also outside of the scope of traditional securities law. 

Some might argue that this is more confusing than clarifying, but applying the principle of Occam’s Razor would suggest the SEC simply does not consider cryptocurrency assets to be subject to securities laws as currently construed.

But what does it all mean?

“Flood the Zone” is a tactic that Trump strategist Steve Bannon made famous during the president’s first term, and it might now apply to the manic flurry of policy and dismissals over the past few months. 

Take any one at face value and it would be easy to discount the project as insubstantial, but together they arguably represent a sea change in the crypto policy of the United States government. 

Banks, once effectively prohibited from holding cryptocurrencies, are now unrestrained. Companies once bogged down in litigation are now free. They may well be followed by new entrants comforted by their survival. 

At a biweekly clip, the SEC is releasing new guidance as to which products exist outside its remit. And Trump nominee Paul Atkins isn’t even in the door yet. 

This is a dramatically improved regulatory environment, and there are now affirmatively legal paths through which industry participants can do business onchain. 

Magazine: 3 reasons Ethereum could turn a corner: Kain Warwick, X Hall of Flame

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Coin Market

Ethereum price has several reasons to break $2,000 next

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Key takeaways:

Strong Ethereum ETF inflows signal high institutional demand.

Ethereum’s $51.8B TVL and 30% DEX weekly volume rise show robust network strength.

A bull flag pattern on the ETH’s four-hour chart targets $2,100.

Ether’s (ETH) price rose to a new range high at $1,860 on April 28, its highest value since April 2.

Several analysts argue that the ETH price needs to hold above $1,800 to increase the chances of rising higher.

“Once ETH confirms this 4H close above resistance [$1,800], Ether and altcoins will finally get their time to shine,” trader Kiran Gadakh said in an April 29 post on X.  

“I can feel it in my bones, $2,000 ETH coming fast.” ETH/USD 12-hour chart. Source: Kiran Gadak

Popular analyst Nebraskangooner opined that if ETH faces high volume rejection from the $1,800 level, it might drop to test support levels around $1,600.

Source: Nebraskangooner

Ethereum ETF demand returns

Several data metrics suggest that Ether is well-positioned to break out toward $2,000 in the following days or weeks.

One factor supporting Ether’s bull case is resurgent institutional demand, reflected by significant inflows into spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

On April 28, Ethereum ETFs saw a net inflow totaling $64.1 million. This followed inflows totalling $151.7 million during the week ending April 25, the highest since February 2025. 

Spot Ethereum ETF netflows. Source: SoSoValue

The increase in institutional demand was reinforced by net inflows of $183 million into Ethereum investment products last week, ending an eight-week streak of outflows, as reported by CoinShares. 

This trend reflects growing confidence among traditional finance players, as observed by market analysts like CoinShares’ head of research, James Butterfill, who noted:

“We believe concerns over the tariff impact on corporate earnings and the dramatic weakening of the US dollar are why investors have turned toward digital assets, which are being seen as an emerging safe haven.”

Institutional buying creates sustained upward pressure on Ether’s price by absorbing the available supply.

Strong Ethereum onchain activity is back

Ethereum remains the undisputed top layer-1 blockchain with more than $51.8 billion in total value locked (TVL) on the network, according to data from DefiLlama. The chart below shows that Ethereum’s TVL has increased by approximately 16% over the last seven days.

Ethereum TVL and daily DEX volumes. Source: DefiLlama

Aave was among the strongest performers in Ethereum deposits, with the TVL rising 13.5% over seven days. Other notable increases included Lido (12%), EigenLayer (13%), and Ether.fi (12%).

Compared to other top-layer networks, the Ethereum network towers above its rivals in terms of TVL growth in the daily and weekly time frames, except SUI, which has seen a 47% increase in its TVL over the last seven days.

Ethereum’s daily DEX volumes have increased by more than 30% over the last week, to $1.65 billion. However, this is significantly lower than the 78% and 44% increases on SUI and Solana, respectively. 

Related: Ethereum Foundation shuffles leadership, splits board and management

ETH price bull flags targets $2,100

The ETH/USD pair has a good chance of resuming its upward momentum despite the rejection at $1,860, as the chart shows a classic bullish pattern.

Ether’s price action over the past week has led to a bull flag pattern on the four-hour chart, as shown in the figure below. A four-hour candlestick close above the flag’s upper boundary at $1,800 on April 29 suggests the start of an upward move.

The flagpole’s height sets the target, which projects Ether’s price ascent to $2,100 or approximately a 15% increase from the current price.

ETH/USD 4-hour chart w/ bull flag pattern. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Another bullish indicator is the relative strength index, which is moving within the positive region at 60, suggesting that the market conditions still favor the upside.

As Cointelegraph reported, increased demand from the $1,700 area (at the 20-day SMA) should serve as a solid foundation for ETH price to reach the $2,110 level, eventually topping out at $2,500.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Beijing to invest in blockchain, integrate into infrastructure

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The Beijing city administration has announced a plan for local blockchain development and implementation over the next two years.

According to an April 29 announcement, the plan was jointly developed by the Beijing Municipal Science and Technology Commission, the Zhongguancun Administrative Committee, the Cyberspace Administration Office, the Bureau of Government Services and Data, the Bureau of Economy and Information Technology and the Bureau of Commerce. The implementation is expected to start this year and continue until 2027.

The announcement. Source: Beijing government

The Beijing Blockchain Innovation and Application Development Action Plan recognizes blockchain as a “critical foundational technology for industrial digitalization and vital digital infrastructure.”

Notably, the objectives also include plans to “enhance the value extraction from digital assets through blockchain,” which may indicate crypto mining. The announcement also claims that the city has already invested heavily in this area of research:

“Beijing has significantly progressed in autonomous blockchain technology development and application scenarios.“

Related: An overview of China’s digital yuan

Beijing bets on blockchain for economic growth

The plan involves developing blockchain software that targets breakthroughs in cryptography, confidential computing and distributed systems. The project also includes the development of blockchain infrastructure, including national blockchain hub nodes and platforms for trusted digital identity and distributed data directories.

Industries targeted for blockchain application include healthcare, education, large artificial intelligence models, financial services and transportation. The objective is to enhance efficiency and trust:

“The aim is to optimize business processes, ensure trustworthy data sharing, and innovate service models, establishing benchmark applications to drive broader blockchain adoption.“

Related: Trump’s crypto push vs. Xi’s digital yuan: What it means for the future of money

One blockchain, one network, one platform

The announcement cites the “one blockchain, one network, one platform” principle. By 2027, the project aims to implement dedicated blockchain chips, privacy protection features, crosschain interoperability and distributed networking.

The project hopes to achieve petabyte-scale trusted node storage, large-scale blockchain interoperability, and a hundred-million-user-scale interoperable trusted identity system. The announcement promises the development of at least 20 blockchain use cases.

The announcement follows Beijing’s release of a white paper to foster innovation and advance the Web3 industry in May 2023. The “Web3 Innovation and Development White Paper” recognized Web3 technology as an “inevitable trend for future Internet industry development.“

The commission behind the paper hoped to establish Beijing as an innovation hub for the digital economy and planned to allocate a minimum of 100 million yuan ($14 million) annually until this year.

Magazine: Illegal arcade disguised as … a fake Bitcoin mine? Soldier scams in China: Asia Express

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CBDCs ‘costly fiat copy’, not fintech success so far: Ex-Binance exec

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The United States’ rejection of a central bank digital currency has not halted the progress of CBDCs globally, but their success has been questionable so far, according to a former Binance executive.

Global CBDC projects have not failed, but they have also not become what they were anticipated to be, according to Olga Goncharova, CEO at the consulting firm Rizz Go and former director of government relations in the Commonwealth of Independent States at Binance.

“CBDCs were conceived as a technological breakthrough, but so far they look like expensive imitations of existing traditional fiat currencies that citizens and businesses already use through online banking and payment apps,” Goncharova told Cointelegraph at the Blockchain Forum in Moscow.

Olga Goncharova during a panel on Web3 geopolitics at the Blockchain Forum 2025 on April 23. Source: Blockchain Forum

Though some of the CBDC-like creatives date back to the 1990s, modern initiatives are yet to offer users a real added value compared to traditional payment channels, she said.

CBDC leaders like China struggle with adoption

“Today it is clear that the expectations around CBDCs were overestimated,” Goncharova claimed, adding that none of the jurisdictions worldwide have succeeded in the mass adoption of retail CBDCs.

“Even in China, where the digital yuan project has been moving longer and more actively than others, its share in the payment system remains minimal,” she added, referring to multiple online reports suggesting that China’s CBDC has been struggling amid slow adoption.

Source: Mercator Institute for China Studies

With China’s CBDC early-stage research starting in 2014, China’s digital yuan is known as one of the biggest CBDC projects worldwide, offering an electronic version of the Chinese yuan intended for online and offline transactions.

Related: China selling seized crypto to top up coffers as economy slows: Report

The Chinese government has been actively promoting the use of the digital yuan. Still, some reports declared China’s digital project a failure in late 2024, referring to the downfall of Yao Qian, the first director of CBDC development at China’s central bank. Late last year, he was reportedly expelled from public office by the government.

EU pushes a digital euro for autonomy

Every country has its reasons to pursue a CBDC, Goncharova continued, noting that the European Union has been pushing its digital euro project to protect its financial autonomy.

“In the EU, the digital euro is perceived more as an instrument of strategic autonomy than as a response to market demand,” she stated, adding that its goal is to reduce reliance on payment giants like Visa and Mastercard.

Source: Reuters

However, the efforts to create a pan-European payment system have faced serious challenges, such as market share concerns by banks as well as adoption difficulties.

“The European Central Bank has not yet decided whether the digital euro will operate on the blockchain, as it does not see convincing cases for programmability and points to technological risks,” Goncharova said.

Russia delays a digital ruble

Russia has emerged as one of the most active jurisdictions in the global CBDC race, but it’s yet to roll out its digital currency as well, which has been on multiple trials since early 2022.

After seeing many launch delays, a digital ruble could be postponed further as Bank of Russia Governor Elvira Nabiullina in February announced that the mass adoption of a digital ruble would occur later than planned.

A panel at the Blockchain Forum 2025 in Moscow. Source: Blockchain Forum

At the same time, Finance Minister Anton Siluanov has recently claimed that the digital ruble is scheduled to be rolled out for commercial banks in the second half of 2025.

Related: Russian ruble stablecoin: Exec lists 7 ‘Tether replica’ features

“In Russia, there is no urgent need to reduce dependence on foreign payment systems as in the EU,” Goncharova told Cointelegraph, adding:

“The digital ruble is rather perceived as a tool for increasing the efficiency of internal settlements. The project is still at the testing stage. Its further development will depend on how clearly the tasks are formulated and whether there is practical sense for users and the economy.”

While Russia has been delaying its digital ruble, some officials have recently called on the government to create ruble-pegged stablecoins, echoing the US’s stablecoin push.

While several ruble stablecoins have already been introduced, it remains to be seen whether the initiatives can compete with giants like Tether’s USDt (USDT).

Magazine: Ethereum is destroying the competition in the $16.1T TradFi tokenization race

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