Coin Market

US Dollar Index (DXY) falls close to level that was followed by 500%+ Bitcoin price rallies

Published

3 weeks ago

April 9, 2025

The Dollar Index (DXY) dipping below 100 has historically aligned with Bitcoin (BTC) bull runs, delivering gains of over 500% during the last two instances. Now, as trade tensions escalate and US Treasurys face sell-offs, some analysts believe China may be actively working to weaken the US dollar. This added pressure on the dollar heightens the likelihood that it could once again serve as a catalyst for another major Bitcoin rally.

Is China working to weaken the US dollar?

According to an April 9 Reuters report, China’s central bank has instructed state-owned lenders to “reduce dollar purchases” as the yuan faces significant downward pressure. Large banks were reportedly “told to step up checks when executing dollar purchase orders for their clients,” signaling an effort to “curb speculative trades.”

Some analysts have speculated whether China might be attempting to weaken the dollar in response to recent US import tariff increases. However, Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, holds a different view.

Source: X/Jim Bianco

Bianco doubts that China is selling US Treasurys with the intent of harming the US economy. He points out that the DXY has remained steady around the 102 level. While China could sell bonds without converting the proceeds into other currencies—thereby impacting the bond market without destabilizing the dollar—this approach seems counterproductive. According to Bianco, it is unlikely that China is a significant seller of Treasurys, if it is selling them at all.

US Dollar Index (DXY). Source: TradingView / Cointelegraph

The DXY Index remains close to the 104 level seen on March 9 and has consistently stayed within the 100-110 range since November 2022. Therefore, claims that its current level reflects widespread distrust in the US dollar or signals an imminent collapse seem unfounded. In reality, stock market performance is not an accurate measure of investors’ risk perception regarding the economy.

DXY below 100 is usually followed by Bitcoin bull runs

The last time the DXY Index fell below 100 was in June 2020, a period that coincided with a Bitcoin bull run. During those nine months, Bitcoin surged from $9,450 to $57,490. Similarly, when DXY dropped below 100 in mid-April 2017, Bitcoin’s price skyrocketed from $1,200 to $17,610 within eight months. Whether coincidental or not, the 100 level has historically aligned with significant Bitcoin price gains.

A weakening DXY indicates that the US dollar has lost value against a basket of major currencies such as the euro, Swiss franc, British pound, and Japanese yen. This decline impacts US-based companies by reducing the amount of dollars they earn from foreign revenues, which in turn lowers tax contributions to the US government. This issue is particularly critical given that the US is running an annual deficit exceeding $1.8 trillion.

Similarly, US imports for individuals and businesses become more expensive in dollar terms when the currency weakens, even if prices remain unchanged in foreign currencies. Despite being the world’s largest economy, the US imports $160 billion in oil, $215 billion in passenger vehicles, and $255 billion in computers, smartphones, data servers, and similar products annually.

A weaker US dollar has a dual negative impact on the economy. It tends to slow consumption as imports become more expensive, and it simultaneously reduces tax revenues from the international earnings of US-based companies. For example, more than 49% of revenues for major corporations like Microsoft, Apple, Tesla, Visa, and Meta come from outside the US. Similarly, companies such as Google and Nvidia derive an estimated 35% or more of their revenues internationally.

Bitcoin’s price could potentially reclaim the $82,000 level regardless of movements in the DXY Index. This could happen as investors grow concerned about potential liquidity injections from the US Federal Reserve to stave off an economic recession. However, if the DXY Index falls below 100, investors may find stronger incentives to turn to alternative hedge instruments like Bitcoin.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Coin Market

BONK price gains 60% in a week as Solana memecoins make a comeback

Published

48 seconds ago

April 29, 2025

Key takeaways:

BONK price is up 73% since April 22, hitting a five-month high of $0.00002167.

BONK’s open interest surged 290% to $43.2 million.

Bonk (BONK), the second-largest Solana-based memecoin by market capitalization, is on track to continue the recovery it began on April 22. BONK has climbed approximately 73% from its April 22 low of around $0.00001247, bringing its price up to an intraday high of $0.00002167 on April 28.

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows BONK trading at $0.00001923, up 3% over the 24 hours and 60% over the last seven days.

BONK/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

BONK’s trading volume has jumped 98% over the last 24 hours to $478 million, and its market capitalization also jumped, briefly touching $1.7 billion on April 28, before retracing to the current level of $1.5 billion.

Let’s examine the factors that have fueled BONK’s price momentum over the last week.

Memecoins recover across the board

BONK’s rally over the last seven days mirrors the bullish price movements across the broader crypto market, including the memecoin sector. Most memecoins have posted double-digit gains over the last week. DOGE and Shiba Inu (SHIB), the leading memecoins, have jumped 3% and 5% over the last seven days.

Official Trump (TRUMP), the memecoin associated with US President Donald Trump, has recorded 73% weekly gains, while Base’s Brett (BRETT) has rallied 83% over the same period.

Performance of top-cap memecoins. Source: CoinMarketCap

This widespread rally has pushed the total memecoin market value to $55.51 billion, a 17.5% leap in the past week, as per CoinMarketCap data.

Memecoin market cap and volume. Source: CoinMarketCap

Over $7.96 billion in memecoin trading volume was recorded in the past seven days alone, representing an 85% weekly change. The resurgence is driven by investors once again embracing risk-on assets like memecoins.

Increasing open interest backs BONK’s rally

The surge in the price of Bonk over the last seven days comes after a significant jump in its open interest (OI).

BONK’s total OI on all exchanges rose 290% from $11 million on April 22 to $43.2 million on April 26. Although this metric has since dropped to $28 million at the time of writing, it remains significantly higher than the OI seen since December 2024.

Rising open interest reflects growing trader participation in BONK futures, indicating heightened speculative activity.

BONK open interest across all exchanges. Source: CoinGlass

Data from CoinGlass shows increasing demand for leveraged long positions in BONK over the last few days, as indicated by the OI-weighted futures funding rate.

BONK average perpetual contracts 8-hour funding rate. Source: CoinGlass

Increasing funding rates usually suggest that futures traders are bullish, expecting future price increases, which may indicate a continuation of the uptrend.

BONK’s social dominance remains high, suggesting high social activity. Santiment data shows BONK’s social dominance spiking from 0.091% to 0.572% between April 20 and April 26, driven by BONK’s ecosystem buzz.

BONK social dominance and volume. Source: Santiment

This surge in chatter on social media platforms reflects rising retail and institutional interest, amplifying FOMO and driving demand.

BONK breaks out of a multimonth downtrend

On April 13, BONK price broke out of a descending parallel channel, igniting strength that saw it flip the 50-day and 100-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) to support.

The bulls will likely continue the rebound toward the significant resistance level at $0.00002410 (200-day SMA) in the short term. A daily candlestick close above this level, accompanied by high volume, could see BONK rise toward the Jan. 19 range high near $0.000040. This would represent a 104% increase from the current price.

BONK/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The sharp rise in the relative strength index and its position at 71 in the overbought region reinforces the buyers’ dominance in the market.

However, the overbought conditions could facilitate profit-taking, occasioning a slight correction before BONK continues its uptrend.

“$BONK’s descending trendline got cleared,” declared popular analyst World of Charts in an April 28 post on X, “expecting 2x in the coming days.”

Meanwhile, Crypto Joe spotted BONK breaking out of a bullish pennant in the 30-minute timeframe targeting $0.00002690.

Source: Crypto Joe

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Coin Market

MetaMask to launch self-custody crypto card with Mastercard

Published

1 hour ago

April 28, 2025

Wallet provider MetaMask is launching a crypto payments card that will allow users to spend self-custodied funds, offering crypto holders additional ways to use their tokens.

The new card is backed by Mastercard and is being developed in partnership with CompoSecure and Baanx, according to the company. The product uses smart contracts to execute the IRL (In Real Life) transactions, with a processing speed under five seconds. It operates on the Linea network, a layer-2 scaling solution on Ethereum.

The companies marketed the self-custodied crypto card as an alternative to the potential risks associated with centralized exchanges. In February, the second-largest crypto exchange by volume, Bybit, was hacked for $1.4 billion, an event that sparked widespread consternation in the crypto space.

With the launch of its card, MetaMask is entering a competitive segment of the cryptocurrency market. Major exchanges like Binance, Bybit, Coinbase, and Crypto.com already offer crypto debit cards, some of which feature “crypto-back” rewards that allow users to earn digital assets on their purchases.

MetaMask has struggled lately as interest in and participation in the Ethereum ecosystem have dried up. According to Dune Analytics, the wallet collected just $289,312 in fees for the week of April 14, much less than the $1.3 million in fees collected for the same period a year ago.

Stablecoin, BTC payments growing use cases for crypto

Payments have emerged as one of the fastest-growing use cases for cryptocurrencies in 2025, offering a way to bring real-world utility to digital assets.

Luxury brands like Dorsia have begun accepting various cryptocurrencies as payment, while messaging app Signal is reportedly exploring adopting Bitcoin for peer-to-peer transactions, and a bill in New York has been introduced to legalize the use of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies for state payments.

Magazine: Bitcoin payments are being undermined by centralized stablecoins

Coin Market

Tether still dominates stablecoins despite competition — Nansen

Published

2 hours ago

April 28, 2025

Despite growing competition from emerging issuers, the stablecoin market remains largely dominated by a few key players. According to data from Web3 research firm Nansen, Tether’s USDt continues to lead among US dollar-pegged stablecoins, even as competition intensifies.

As of April 25, Tether (USDT) has a roughly 66% market share among stablecoins, compared to around 28% for USDC (USDC), Nansen said in the April 25 report. Ethena’s USDe stablecoin ranks a distant third, touting a market share of just over 2%.

Nansen expects Tether’s lead to endure even as rivals such as USDC clock faster growth rates.

“With nearly 3x as many users as Uniswap and 50+% more transactions than the next app, Tether is by and far the largest use case of onchain activity,” Nansen said.

“Despite the potential dispersion in stables, we inevitably believe this is a ‘winner-takes-most’ market dynamic,” the Web3 researcher added.

Tether has 66% of stablecoin market share. Source: Nansen

Tether is also the most profitable stablecoin issuer, clocking nearly $14 billion in 2024 profits. The company earns revenue by accepting US dollars to mint USDT and subsequently investing those dollars into highly liquid, yield-bearing instruments such as US Treasury bills.

“Given the growth of USDT and USDC, the users are clearly expressing that they do not necessarily care about the yield as they are forgoing it to Tether and Circle -they simply want access to the most liquid and ‘stable’/ least-likely-to-depeg stablecoin out there,” Nansen said.

USDC has seen faster growth than USDT since November. Source: Nansen

Competitive landscape

Adoption of USDC has accelerated since November, when US President Donald Trump’s election victory ushered in a more favorable US regulatory environment for crypto, Nansen said.

Circle’s US-regulated stablecoin has been “particularly attractive to institutions requiring regulatory clarity,” the report said.

But USDC now faces “intensifying competition as major traditional financial institutions (i.e., Fidelity, PayPal, and banks) enter the market,” Nansen said, adding that stablecoins, including PayPal’s PYUSD and Ripple USD, are “rapidly gaining traction.”

On April 25, payment processor Stripe tipped plans to create a new stablecoin product of its own after buying stablecoin platform Bridge last year.

Despite its smaller market share, Ethena’s yield-bearing USDe stablecoin remains “competitive on most fronts moving forward,” partly because of integrations across centralized exchanges (CEXs) and decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols, the report said.

Since launching in 2024, Ethena’s stablecoin has generated an average annualized yield of approximately 19%, according to Ethena’s website.

Magazine: Bitcoin payments are being undermined by centralized stablecoins