Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting familiar “bottom” behavior at current prices, according to one of its best-known leading indicators. 

In an X post on April 10, John Bollinger, creator of the Bollinger bands volatility metric, revealed good news in progress for Bitcoin bulls.

Bollinger bands %b metric teases BTC price comeback

Bitcoin may already be establishing a long-term bottom, the latest Bollinger bands data suggests.

Analyzing weekly timeframes, Bollinger himself drew attention to one of his proprietary indicators, known as “%b,” which offers further clues about market trend reversals.

%b measures an asset’s closing price relative to Bollinger band position, employing standard deviation around a 20-period simple moving average (SMA). 

Among its insights is the “W” bottom formation, where a first low beneath zero is followed by a higher low retest later — something that could now be in play for BTC/USD.

Bollinger confirmed to X followers:

“Classic Bollinger Band W bottom setting up in $BTCUSD. Sill needs confirmation.”

BTC/USD 1-week chart with Bollinger bands data. Source: John Bollinger/X

On both weekly and daily timeframes, Bollinger bands show no trend shift has taken place yet.

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that the daily chart continues to walk down the lower band, with the middle SMA acting as resistance.

BTC/USD 1-day chart with Bollinger bands data. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Turning to stocks, with which BTC/USD has become increasing correlated, Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro at Fidelity Investments, drew similar conclusions.

“Revisiting the Bollinger Bands, we have gone from 2 standard deviations above-trend to on-trend to now almost 2 standard deviations below-trend,” he noted about the S&P 500 on April 9. 

“Again, oversold but not at an historic extreme.”

Bitcoin bounce may follow 10% Nasdaq plunge

As Cointelegraph continues to report, BTC price bottom targets increasingly center around the $70,000 mark.

Related: Bitcoin, stocks shun CPI print win and give up tariff relief gains — Will BTC whales save the day?

That level is significant for several reasons, including as a psychological barrier and its status as a liquidity magnet.

Network economist Timothy Peterson, whose Lowest Price Forward metric previously offered 95% odds that $69,000 would stay intact as support, now sees Bitcoin reversing only after stocks find their own floor.

“Bitcoin led NASDAQ on this decline.  As the asset perceived to be at the top of the risk pyramid, I would expect NASDAQ to rally first, and then Bitcoin.  Just something to look for,” he revealed this week. 

“But I think NASDAQ has another -10% to fall.”

Bitcoin vs. Nasdaq comparison. Source: Timothy Peterson/X

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.