Connect with us

Coin Market

Watch these Bitcoin price levels as BTC meets ‘decision point’

Published

on

Key takeaways:

Bitcoin failed to break the $98,000 resistance amid increased profit-taking.

BTC price needs to close above $95,000 on the daily chart for a push to $100,000.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price failed to break above resistance at $98,000 on May 3. Since April 22, BTC prices have formed daily candle highs between $93,000 and $97,900, but they could not close above $97,440.

BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin price action has been choppy and within a narrow range for the past few days. With elevated profit-taking and a lot of supply in profit, markets could see volatile price swings toward key BTC price levels over the next few days. 

Realized profits above “statistical levels”

Senior researcher at Glassnode, CryptoVizArt.₿, said that Bitcoin’s rally to the $93,000-96,000 range has “pushed the profit-taking volume above the statistical levels.”

In other words, the Realized Profit/Loss ratio shows that the volume of Bitcoin being sold at a profit exceeds historical norms. This suggests heightened selling activity by investors locking in gains, often signaling potential market tops and increased sell-side pressure.

The chart below indicates that “for every dollar realized in loss, more than 9 dollars was realized in profit!” CryptoVizArt.₿ explained, adding:

“The fact that the price is still above $93,000 is very surprising, which in my humble opinion is also risky.”Bitcoin realized profit/loss ratio. Source: Glassnode 

As reported by Cointelegraph, BTC selling has been ramping up near the $95,000 level over the past few days as short-term traders book profits.

Crypto analyst Checkmate said that Bitcoin’s current market is at a key “decision point,” so Bitcoin must clear this price zone in the near term to avoid another major correction.

Related: Bitcoin price cools going into Fed rate hike week, HYPE, AAVE, RNDR, FET still look bullish

Bitcoin’s supply in profit now stands at 86%, as per data from Glassnode. This high percentage often signals a bullish phase. However, it also indicates potential risks: when supply in profit exceeds 80-90%, historical patterns show increased profit-taking, particularly by short-term holders, which can lead to corrections.

Given these two scenarios, Checkmate pointed out:

“We’re sitting right in the middle of a decision point, and all it will take is one big red or green candle from here to convince people of a lower high, or bull continuation, respectively.”Bitcoin distribution. Source: Checkonchain

Key Bitcoin price levels to watch

Bitcoin must flip the $98,000 resistance level into support to target higher highs above $100,000.

But first, the BTC/USD pair must close above $95,000 on the daily chart. BTC’s price dropped below this level on May 4, driven by profit-taking after the rally to $97,000.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

​​One positive catalyst for the bulls could be continued demand from spot Bitcoin ETFs. Bitcoin ETFs registered $1.8 billion in net inflows last week, per Farside Investors’ data.

Another catalyst could come from Wednesday’s Fed interest rate decision meeting.

Meanwhile, the bears will attempt to keep the $98,000 resistance in place to increase the likelihood of pulling the price below $92,000. The immediate target below the previous range lows is at $90,000, i.e., the convergence point of the 100-day and 200-day SMAs.

Below $90,000, the next key area of interest remains between $85,000 and $75,000. Reaching $75,000 would erase all the gains after the 90-day tariff pause

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Coin Market

Ethereum Foundation unveils security initiative to supplant legacy systems

Published

on

By

The Ethereum Foundation has launched a security initiative aimed at supporting the broader adoption of onchain technologies, according to a May 14 announcement. The effort is part of an ongoing push to strengthen Ethereum’s role in programmable digital assets.

Fredrik Svantes, a protocol security research lead, and Josh Stark from the Ethereum Foundation management team will be the initial co-chairs of the initiative. Three contributors to the Ethereum ecosystem — samczsun, Medhi Zerouali, and Zach Obront — will help guide the project.

Called the Trillion Dollar Security Initiative, the effort seeks to analyze, improve, and communicate to Ethereum developers areas where security can be improved, including user experience, wallet security, smart contract security and infrastructure.

According to DefiLlama, Ethereum still is the leading ecosystem for decentralized finance (DeFi), having held between 50-60% of the total value locked across all blockchains since May 2022. The network’s TVL stands at nearly $80 billion as of May 14.

Blockchains by total-value-locked. Source: DefiLlama

“Achieving Trillion Dollar Security is only possible with the support of the broad Ethereum ecosystem,” the Foundation said in a statement. “Billions of individuals are each comfortable storing more than $1,000 onchain, collectively amounting to trillions of dollars secured on Ethereum,” it added.

Related: Vitalik Buterin outlines vision as Ethereum ecosystem addresses hit new high

Ethereum rebounds with Pectra upgrade

Ethereum’s struggles during this bull market have been well-documented. It has suffered from low traffic and a lack of attention-grabbing use cases, and its layer-2 chains that make Ethereum faster have been plagued by bad UX. But then came the Pectra upgrade.

Pectra, Ethereum’s most significant upgrade since The Merge, has delivered three key improvements, including external accounts as smart contracts, increased staking limits and data blobs per block.

Ethereum’s native token (ETH) price has risen significantly since the upgrade, jumping over 43% since May 7.

Magazine: Comeback 2025 — Is Ethereum poised to catch up with Bitcoin and Solana?

Continue Reading

Coin Market

3 reasons why Ethereum price could rally to $5,000 in 2025

Published

on

By

Key takeaways:

A longer-term ETH price rally is dependent on SEC approval of in-kind ETF creation and staking to attract more investors.

AI adoption and Ethereum layer-2 growth must drive onchain activity to restore the network’s deflationary burn mechanism.

Ether (ETH) surged 43.6% between May 7 and May 14, but its current price of $2,600 still falls short of the 2021 peak of $4,868. Some analysts argue that the current bullish momentum is “just the beginning of a much larger and aggressive uptrend,” raising the likelihood of a near-term rally to $5,000.

However, the catalysts for a new ETH all-time high in 2025 remain uncertain, particularly in the face of intensifying competition.

Source: X/AdrianoFeria

According to X user AdrianoFeria, ETH is “the best candidate for institutional diversification” since professional fund managers appreciate “similar levels of regulatory clarity and accessibility” through multiple spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), although recent data hasn’t been especially encouraging. 

Ether remains the sole alternative to spot Bitcoin ETFs

Between May 12 and May 13, US-listed Ether ETFs saw net outflows of $4 million. The size of the Ether ETF market is 92% smaller than Bitcoin’s $121.5 billion, highlighting a clear lack of institutional appetite for ETH-based products. This has led some traders to question whether Ether can truly gain traction among professional investors.

ETH/USDT vs. competitors XRP, TRX, BNB, ADA. Source: TradingView / Cointelegraph

While competing cryptocurrencies have outperformed ETH in 2025, their chances of being included in US state-level digital asset reserves have plummeted. This follows President Trump’s decision on March 2 to distance himself from lobbyists supporting XRP, SOL, and ADA. The “Digital Asset Stockpile” executive order issued on March 6 was notably more cautious, drawing a clear line between Bitcoin (BTC) and other altcoins.

Ether’s best-case scenario may involve a lack of direct ETF competition, which would depend on the US Securities and Exchange Commission rejecting several pending applications. Analysts also suggest that Ether ETFs could gain momentum from in-kind creation and staking approvals—developments considered highly likely before year-end, according to Bloomberg Intelligence analyst James Seyffart.

‘Pectra’ upgrade improved scalability, setting the stage for AI adoption

Previously hailed as the answer to Ether’s monetary policy, the built-in burn mechanism introduced in 2021 was designed to reduce supply growth based on network demand. However, the shift in focus toward scalability through rollups has largely offset its deflationary impact. As a result, a significant increase in onchain activity is now required for Ether to become deflationary once more.

Ethereum rollups ranked by 30-day transactions. Source: L2Beat

The recent ‘Pectra’ upgrade has improved data transmission efficiency, setting the stage for enhanced scalability. Layer-2 network activity rose 23% compared to the previous month, with the Base network taking the lead at 244.2 million transactions in 30 days, according to L2beat. If this momentum holds, it could generate sustained demand for ETH and help further differentiate Ethereum from rival platforms.

Related: Ethereum retakes 10% market share, but ETH bulls shouldn’t celebrate yet

Source: X/econoar

The path to a $5,000 ETH price remains uncertain, but artificial intelligence may serve as a powerful catalyst. Ethereum advocate Eric Conner observed that ChatGPT prefers Ethereum’s layer-2 infrastructure for managing funds via multisignature contracts, allowing autonomous agents to pay merchants, settle balances, and allocate surplus into decentralized finance applications.

Although it is difficult to predict whether the AI-driven trend will fully develop, the potential for smart contract activity to increase tenfold from current levels is within reach. This growth could make a new all-time high for ETH in 2025 achievable, especially if institutional interest accelerates following long-awaited regulatory changes.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Continue Reading

Coin Market

New York has 'outsized role to play' in crypto ecosystem — State regulator head

Published

on

By

Adrienne Harris, the head of the New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS), said New York has an “outsized role to play” in the crypto ecosystem, particularly in shaping regulatory frameworks for digital assets.

During a panel on May 14 at Consensus 2025 in Toronto, she said the NY estate is frequently asked to provide guidance on regulators. “With respect to federal regulation and legislation […] members of Congress are often coming to us [NYDFS] asking about our process, about our regulations, about guidance, how they should be thinking about legislation,” Harris said.

Interview with Adrienne Harris (pictured left). Source: Cointelegraph

According to Harris, the NYDFS was “unnecessarily tough” and lacked resources in the past. Now, under her purview, she said the NYDFS is “tough but fair,” noting that the digital currency oversight team has since doubled in size.

Harris took over as superintendent of the NYDFS in September 2021 after spending time working in the educational, nonprofit, and private sectors. In New York State, crypto businesses must either obtain a BitLicense or a limited-purpose trust charter.

“We’ve added nine pieces of regulatory guidance, so it’s still very tough to get a BitLicense or a limited-purpose trust charter,” Harris said. “But I think […] the proof is in the pudding when you see that FTX, Voyager, Celsius, didn’t pass our test and therefore couldn’t do business.”

All three of those crypto companies went bankrupt in 2022. The result was a widespread contagion in the industry and years-long legal proceedings. FTX’s founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, and Celsius Network’s Alex Mashinsky were sentenced to 25 and 12 years in prison, respectively. Voyager’s founder, Steven Ehrlich, is facing legal charges for allegedly misleading customers.

Related: NYC Mayor doubles down on crypto push ahead of city summit

Harris ‘hopeful’ for stablecoin legislation

Stablecoin legislation has been a topic at the forefront of many crypto industry advocates in 2025. Recently considered a bipartisan endeavor, it devolved into a dispute on May 8 when Democrats withdrew support for the GENIUS Act over concerns about President Trump’s crypto ventures.

Still, Harris remains “hopeful” Congress will eventually pass stablecoin legislation.

We’ve been working with Congress on all the variations of their crypto and stablecoin legislation now over the last three years almost.

According to Harris, all recent legislation tied to stablecoin regulation has been reviewed by New York officials.

“There isn’t a version of any of those bills, be it House or Senate, R’s or D’s, that don’t come to meet to the team to say, give us your feedback, give us your technical assistance, your insights here,” she said, adding that most of these suggestions have been incorporated into legislations.

The NYDFS, according to Harrus, still wants to be “a state path for crypto companies.”

Magazine: Bitcoin payments are being undermined by centralized stablecoins

Continue Reading

Trending